Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Truth Social posting volume for March 24-31, 2026, at 80-119 posts as most probable, reflecting his historical average of 10-15 daily shares during high-activity phases like campaigns or presidencies. Recent 2024 campaign data shows sustained bursts exceeding 100 weekly posts amid rallies and debates, anchoring expectations in the 80-139 range with 76% implied probability. The tight split between 80-99 (25.5%) and 100-119 (27.5%) stems from variability tied to news cycles—quieter weeks dip below 80, while controversies spike higher. Separation could arise from 2024 election results confirming his presidential status, midterm maneuvering, or breaking diplomatic developments, potentially pushing toward 140+ if events dominate headlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado100-119 28%
80-99 26%
120-139 20%
140-159 13%
$30,634 Vol.
$30,634 Vol.
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
26%
100-119
28%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
100-119 28%
80-99 26%
120-139 20%
140-159 13%
$30,634 Vol.
$30,634 Vol.
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
26%
100-119
28%
120-139
20%
140-159
13%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Truth Social posting volume for March 24-31, 2026, at 80-119 posts as most probable, reflecting his historical average of 10-15 daily shares during high-activity phases like campaigns or presidencies. Recent 2024 campaign data shows sustained bursts exceeding 100 weekly posts amid rallies and debates, anchoring expectations in the 80-139 range with 76% implied probability. The tight split between 80-99 (25.5%) and 100-119 (27.5%) stems from variability tied to news cycles—quieter weeks dip below 80, while controversies spike higher. Separation could arise from 2024 election results confirming his presidential status, midterm maneuvering, or breaking diplomatic developments, potentially pushing toward 140+ if events dominate headlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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