The narrow Republican House majority—220-215 following 2024 elections—anchors trader sentiment on President-elect Trump's potential impeachment before his January 2029 term end, as a simple majority could pass articles despite low Senate conviction odds needing 67 votes. At 57.5% Yes, implied probabilities capture Democratic leaders like Hakeem Jeffries vowing investigations into emoluments concerns, January 6 pardons, and Ukraine aid decisions, amid GOP freshman pushback risks. Recent catalysts include Trump's cabinet picks like Pete Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard, plus mass deportation plans sparking internal party tensions and protests, elevating uncertainty. January congressional organization remains a key watchpoint for unity tests.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$4,278Fecha de finalización
Jan 20, 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$4,278Fecha de finalización
Jan 20, 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The narrow Republican House majority—220-215 following 2024 elections—anchors trader sentiment on President-elect Trump's potential impeachment before his January 2029 term end, as a simple majority could pass articles despite low Senate conviction odds needing 67 votes. At 57.5% Yes, implied probabilities capture Democratic leaders like Hakeem Jeffries vowing investigations into emoluments concerns, January 6 pardons, and Ukraine aid decisions, amid GOP freshman pushback risks. Recent catalysts include Trump's cabinet picks like Pete Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard, plus mass deportation plans sparking internal party tensions and protests, elevating uncertainty. January congressional organization remains a key watchpoint for unity tests.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes