Trump's January 20 inauguration as the 47th president, backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate following the 2024 elections, has entrenched his position, rendering impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation by the cabinet and vice president highly improbable by March 31. No recent developments, such as public resignation statements, health emergencies, or bipartisan scandals, have surfaced to challenge this stability, with focus instead on cabinet confirmations and executive actions. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects these constitutional barriers and the absence of catalysts, though late-breaking events like a sudden medical crisis or explosive legal controversy could still alter the trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$12,394,225 Vol.
$12,394,225 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$12,394,225 Vol.
$12,394,225 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's January 20 inauguration as the 47th president, backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate following the 2024 elections, has entrenched his position, rendering impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation by the cabinet and vice president highly improbable by March 31. No recent developments, such as public resignation statements, health emergencies, or bipartisan scandals, have surfaced to challenge this stability, with focus instead on cabinet confirmations and executive actions. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects these constitutional barriers and the absence of catalysts, though late-breaking events like a sudden medical crisis or explosive legal controversy could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
Volumen
$12,394,225Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's January 20 inauguration as the 47th president, backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate following the 2024 elections, has entrenched his position, rendering impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation by the cabinet and vice president highly improbable by March 31. No recent developments, such as public resignation statements, health emergencies, or bipartisan scandals, have surfaced to challenge this stability, with focus instead on cabinet confirmations and executive actions. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects these constitutional barriers and the absence of catalysts, though late-breaking events like a sudden medical crisis or explosive legal controversy could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$12,394,225Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's January 20 inauguration as the 47th president, backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate following the 2024 elections, has entrenched his position, rendering impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation by the cabinet and vice president highly improbable by March 31. No recent developments, such as public resignation statements, health emergencies, or bipartisan scandals, have surfaced to challenge this stability, with focus instead on cabinet confirmations and executive actions. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects these constitutional barriers and the absence of catalysts, though late-breaking events like a sudden medical crisis or explosive legal controversy could still alter the trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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