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Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Market icon
Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Mar 27

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Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

49% chance
Polymarket
NEW
49% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus slightly favors under 500 US flight cancellations on March 31, with "No" at 51%, reflecting mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, where no severe thunderstorms or winter storms are predicted by NOAA. Recent FAA data shows daily cancellations averaging below 500 in late March amid resolved crew shortages and stable Boeing operations, keeping volumes near historical norms of 400-600. This tight balance stems from occasional mechanical delays at Southwest and Delta, offset by high on-time performance. A sudden East Coast nor'easter, air traffic control outages, or airline IT glitches could push totals over 500, while continued clear skies would solidify the "No" lead as real-time FlightAware tracking unfolds.

Trader consensus slightly favors under 500 US flight cancellations on March 31, with "No" at 51%, reflecting mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, where no severe thunderstorms or winter storms are predicted by NOAA. Recent FAA data shows daily cancellations averaging below 500 in late March amid resolved crew shortages and stable Boeing operations, keeping volumes near historical norms of 400-600. This tight balance stems from occasional mechanical delays at Southwest and Delta, offset by high on-time performance. A sudden East Coast nor'easter, air traffic control outages, or airline IT glitches could push totals over 500, while continued clear skies would solidify the "No" lead as real-time FlightAware tracking unfolds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus slightly favors under 500 US flight cancellations on March 31, with "No" at 51%, reflecting mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, where no severe thunderstorms or winter storms are predicted by NOAA. Recent FAA data shows daily cancellations averaging below 500 in late March amid resolved crew shortages and stable Boeing operations, keeping volumes near historical norms of 400-600. This tight balance stems from occasional mechanical delays at Southwest and Delta, offset by high on-time performance. A sudden East Coast nor'easter, air traffic control outages, or airline IT glitches could push totals over 500, while continued clear skies would solidify the "No" lead as real-time FlightAware tracking unfolds.

Trader consensus slightly favors under 500 US flight cancellations on March 31, with "No" at 51%, reflecting mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, where no severe thunderstorms or winter storms are predicted by NOAA. Recent FAA data shows daily cancellations averaging below 500 in late March amid resolved crew shortages and stable Boeing operations, keeping volumes near historical norms of 400-600. This tight balance stems from occasional mechanical delays at Southwest and Delta, offset by high on-time performance. A sudden East Coast nor'easter, air traffic control outages, or airline IT glitches could push totals over 500, while continued clear skies would solidify the "No" lead as real-time FlightAware tracking unfolds.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 49% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 49¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?" es 49% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 49% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.