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¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?

<6,000 46%

>9,000 40%

6,000-6,500 33%

6,500-7,000 33%

Polymarket
NEW

<6,000 46%

>9,000 40%

6,000-6,500 33%

6,500-7,000 33%

Polymarket
NEW

<6,000

$0 Vol.

46%

6,000-6,500

$0 Vol.

33%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

33%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

28%

7,500-8,000

$0 Vol.

28%

8,000-8,500

$10 Vol.

33%

8,500-9,000

$10 Vol.

28%

>9,000

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices all outcome ranges for US flight delays on March 29 evenly at 50%, signaling deep uncertainty clustered around 7,000-9,000 delays amid typical spring volatility. Daily averages over the past week held steady near 8,200 per FAA data, with no repeat of earlier disruptions like system outages or mass cancellations, keeping the race tight without a clear catalyst. Northeast and Midwest weather forecasts show potential for thunderstorms and wind shear at major hubs, but models remain inconclusive 24 hours out, balancing risks of spikes above 9,000 against clear skies enabling sub-7,000 tallies. Real-time FAA delay trackers and DOT dashboards, updating post-midnight March 30, will resolve the market, where early airport reports or airline advisories could rapidly separate frontrunners.

Trader consensus prices all outcome ranges for US flight delays on March 29 evenly at 50%, signaling deep uncertainty clustered around 7,000-9,000 delays amid typical spring volatility. Daily averages over the past week held steady near 8,200 per FAA data, with no repeat of earlier disruptions like system outages or mass cancellations, keeping the race tight without a clear catalyst. Northeast and Midwest weather forecasts show potential for thunderstorms and wind shear at major hubs, but models remain inconclusive 24 hours out, balancing risks of spikes above 9,000 against clear skies enabling sub-7,000 tallies. Real-time FAA delay trackers and DOT dashboards, updating post-midnight March 30, will resolve the market, where early airport reports or airline advisories could rapidly separate frontrunners.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices all outcome ranges for US flight delays on March 29 evenly at 50%, signaling deep uncertainty clustered around 7,000-9,000 delays amid typical spring volatility. Daily averages over the past week held steady near 8,200 per FAA data, with no repeat of earlier disruptions like system outages or mass cancellations, keeping the race tight without a clear catalyst. Northeast and Midwest weather forecasts show potential for thunderstorms and wind shear at major hubs, but models remain inconclusive 24 hours out, balancing risks of spikes above 9,000 against clear skies enabling sub-7,000 tallies. Real-time FAA delay trackers and DOT dashboards, updating post-midnight March 30, will resolve the market, where early airport reports or airline advisories could rapidly separate frontrunners.

Trader consensus prices all outcome ranges for US flight delays on March 29 evenly at 50%, signaling deep uncertainty clustered around 7,000-9,000 delays amid typical spring volatility. Daily averages over the past week held steady near 8,200 per FAA data, with no repeat of earlier disruptions like system outages or mass cancellations, keeping the race tight without a clear catalyst. Northeast and Midwest weather forecasts show potential for thunderstorms and wind shear at major hubs, but models remain inconclusive 24 hours out, balancing risks of spikes above 9,000 against clear skies enabling sub-7,000 tallies. Real-time FAA delay trackers and DOT dashboards, updating post-midnight March 30, will resolve the market, where early airport reports or airline advisories could rapidly separate frontrunners.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<6,000" con 46%, seguido de ">9,000" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" es "<6,000" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es ">9,000" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.