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Política·Automatización De Recompensas 50 4.5 50

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Market icon
Política·Automatización De Recompensas 50 4.5 50

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 26

Mar 27

>6,000 67%

5,500-6,000 24%

5,000-5,500 23%

<3,000 21%

Polymarket

$750 Vol.

>6,000 67%

5,500-6,000 24%

5,000-5,500 23%

<3,000 21%

Polymarket

$750 Vol.

<3,000

$10 Vol.

21%

3,000-3,500

$440 Vol.

2%

3,500-4,000

$193 Vol.

3%

4,000-4,500

$5 Vol.

10%

4,500-5,000

$0 Vol.

13%

5,000-5,500

$50 Vol.

23%

5,500-6,000

$0 Vol.

24%

>6,000

$52 Vol.

67%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe weather disruptions, including high winds and thunderstorms across the Northeast and Midwest, have pushed US flight delays above 6,000 in the past week, with March 25 recording over 7,500 delays per FAA data. Forecasts for March 27 signal continued turbulence in major hubs like Chicago O'Hare and New York-area airports, alongside air traffic control staffing constraints and seasonal spring volatility, leading traders to price >6,000 delays at 60.5% consensus. Lower bins like 5,500-6,000 (24%) reflect potential easing if systems clear, while DOT monitoring and real-time cancellations underscore operational bottlenecks driving the elevated positioning.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$750
Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe weather disruptions, including high winds and thunderstorms across the Northeast and Midwest, have pushed US flight delays above 6,000 in the past week, with March 25 recording over 7,500 delays per FAA data. Forecasts for March 27 signal continued turbulence in major hubs like Chicago O'Hare and New York-area airports, alongside air traffic control staffing constraints and seasonal spring volatility, leading traders to price >6,000 delays at 60.5% consensus. Lower bins like 5,500-6,000 (24%) reflect potential easing if systems clear, while DOT monitoring and real-time cancellations underscore operational bottlenecks driving the elevated positioning.

Severe weather disruptions, including high winds and thunderstorms across the Northeast and Midwest, have pushed US flight delays above 6,000 in the past week, with March 25 recording over 7,500 delays per FAA data. Forecasts for March 27 signal continued turbulence in major hubs like Chicago O'Hare and New York-area airports, alongside air traffic control staffing constraints and seasonal spring volatility, leading traders to price >6,000 delays at 60.5% consensus. Lower bins like 5,500-6,000 (24%) reflect potential easing if systems clear, while DOT monitoring and real-time cancellations underscore operational bottlenecks driving the elevated positioning.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">6,000" con 67%, seguido de "5,500-6,000" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 67¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" es ">6,000" con 67%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5,500-6,000" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.