Severe weather systems, including winter storms bringing snow and ice to the Midwest, Rockies, and Northeast, are the primary driver behind the 53% implied probability for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27. Forecasts from the past 24 hours predict hazardous conditions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare (ORD), Denver (DEN), and New York airports, echoing March 26's 420+ cancellations that pushed early trader sentiment toward "Yes." Morning data shows under 100 cancellations so far amid lighter impacts, creating competitive balance as totals depend on peak afternoon disruptions. Intensifying storms or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past 450, while rapid clearing or airline mitigations might cap them below, with live FlightAware tracking pivotal through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoOver 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?
Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?
$21 Vol.
$21 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
$21 Vol.
$21 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Severe weather systems, including winter storms bringing snow and ice to the Midwest, Rockies, and Northeast, are the primary driver behind the 53% implied probability for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27. Forecasts from the past 24 hours predict hazardous conditions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare (ORD), Denver (DEN), and New York airports, echoing March 26's 420+ cancellations that pushed early trader sentiment toward "Yes." Morning data shows under 100 cancellations so far amid lighter impacts, creating competitive balance as totals depend on peak afternoon disruptions. Intensifying storms or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past 450, while rapid clearing or airline mitigations might cap them below, with live FlightAware tracking pivotal through evening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$21Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Severe weather systems, including winter storms bringing snow and ice to the Midwest, Rockies, and Northeast, are the primary driver behind the 53% implied probability for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27. Forecasts from the past 24 hours predict hazardous conditions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare (ORD), Denver (DEN), and New York airports, echoing March 26's 420+ cancellations that pushed early trader sentiment toward "Yes." Morning data shows under 100 cancellations so far amid lighter impacts, creating competitive balance as totals depend on peak afternoon disruptions. Intensifying storms or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past 450, while rapid clearing or airline mitigations might cap them below, with live FlightAware tracking pivotal through evening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$21Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...Severe weather systems, including winter storms bringing snow and ice to the Midwest, Rockies, and Northeast, are the primary driver behind the 53% implied probability for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27. Forecasts from the past 24 hours predict hazardous conditions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare (ORD), Denver (DEN), and New York airports, echoing March 26's 420+ cancellations that pushed early trader sentiment toward "Yes." Morning data shows under 100 cancellations so far amid lighter impacts, creating competitive balance as totals depend on peak afternoon disruptions. Intensifying storms or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past 450, while rapid clearing or airline mitigations might cap them below, with live FlightAware tracking pivotal through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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