Senate Republican leadership under Majority Leader John Thune has so far confined nuclear option invocations to procedural adjustments for nominations and budget measures rather than a full rules change eliminating the legislative filibuster. President Trump has repeatedly pressed for the broader step, most recently in late 2025 amid shutdown talks and again in March 2026 when weighing a voter-restriction bill, yet most GOP senators have resisted out of concern that Democrats would later wield the same simple-majority power. This institutional caution, combined with the party’s narrow Senate majority and the precedent of prior targeted changes only, keeps trader consensus on a complete filibuster repeal by the end of 2026 near zero while leaving open the possibility of narrower rules tweaks if legislative priorities intensify before the next election cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$559,704 Vol.
31 mar 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
23%
$559,704 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$4,743 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republican leadership under Majority Leader John Thune has so far confined nuclear option invocations to procedural adjustments for nominations and budget measures rather than a full rules change eliminating the legislative filibuster. President Trump has repeatedly pressed for the broader step, most recently in late 2025 amid shutdown talks and again in March 2026 when weighing a voter-restriction bill, yet most GOP senators have resisted out of concern that Democrats would later wield the same simple-majority power. This institutional caution, combined with the party’s narrow Senate majority and the precedent of prior targeted changes only, keeps trader consensus on a complete filibuster repeal by the end of 2026 near zero while leaving open the possibility of narrower rules tweaks if legislative priorities intensify before the next election cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$559,704Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republican leadership under Majority Leader John Thune has so far confined nuclear option invocations to procedural adjustments for nominations and budget measures rather than a full rules change eliminating the legislative filibuster. President Trump has repeatedly pressed for the broader step, most recently in late 2025 amid shutdown talks and again in March 2026 when weighing a voter-restriction bill, yet most GOP senators have resisted out of concern that Democrats would later wield the same simple-majority power. This institutional caution, combined with the party’s narrow Senate majority and the precedent of prior targeted changes only, keeps trader consensus on a complete filibuster repeal by the end of 2026 near zero while leaving open the possibility of narrower rules tweaks if legislative priorities intensify before the next election cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Volumen
$559,704Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republican leadership under Majority Leader John Thune has so far confined nuclear option invocations to procedural adjustments for nominations and budget measures rather than a full rules change eliminating the legislative filibuster. President Trump has repeatedly pressed for the broader step, most recently in late 2025 amid shutdown talks and again in March 2026 when weighing a voter-restriction bill, yet most GOP senators have resisted out of concern that Democrats would later wield the same simple-majority power. This institutional caution, combined with the party’s narrow Senate majority and the precedent of prior targeted changes only, keeps trader consensus on a complete filibuster repeal by the end of 2026 near zero while leaving open the possibility of narrower rules tweaks if legislative priorities intensify before the next election cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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