Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over minimal legislative output in April amid President Trump's March 9 declaration that he will not sign bills until Congress enacts the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility, stalling progress during a partial government shutdown centered on DHS funding disputes. With only one bill, S. 4138, signed into law on March 20, and heavy reliance on executive orders—252 issued by late March—traders anticipate few if any enactments, split tightly between zero and low single digits. Early April recesses for both House (through April 13) and Senate (through April 10) limit floor time, though Trump's April 3 budget request and committee hearings the week of April 6 could spur continuing resolutions or minor appropriations, potentially tipping volumes toward 1-3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado0 36%
1 35%
3 35%
6 35%
$11,989 Vol.
$11,989 Vol.
0
36%
1
35%
2
35%
3
35%
4
21%
5
30%
6
35%
7+
14%
0 36%
1 35%
3 35%
6 35%
$11,989 Vol.
$11,989 Vol.
0
36%
1
35%
2
35%
3
35%
4
21%
5
30%
6
35%
7+
14%
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over minimal legislative output in April amid President Trump's March 9 declaration that he will not sign bills until Congress enacts the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility, stalling progress during a partial government shutdown centered on DHS funding disputes. With only one bill, S. 4138, signed into law on March 20, and heavy reliance on executive orders—252 issued by late March—traders anticipate few if any enactments, split tightly between zero and low single digits. Early April recesses for both House (through April 13) and Senate (through April 10) limit floor time, though Trump's April 3 budget request and committee hearings the week of April 6 could spur continuing resolutions or minor appropriations, potentially tipping volumes toward 1-3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes