Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating at around 40% on April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% bin leading at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the late 30s to low 40s. Surveys from the past week, including AP-NORC at 38% and Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, underscore stability amid surging fuel prices and waning support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, which have driven disapproval to record highs and net ratings near -16. Economic dissatisfaction on prices and inflation remains a key drag, with no major catalysts like debates or legislative votes scheduled before resolution to shift sentiment significantly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
40.0–40.4 70%
39.5–39.9 19%
39.0–39.4 13%
<39.0 5.5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
5%
39.0–39.4
13%
39.5–39.9
19%
40.0–40.4
70%
40.5–40.9
4%
41.0+
3%
40.0–40.4 70%
39.5–39.9 19%
39.0–39.4 13%
<39.0 5.5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$383 Vol.
5%
39.0–39.4
$186 Vol.
13%
39.5–39.9
$201 Vol.
19%
40.0–40.4
$698 Vol.
70%
40.5–40.9
$186 Vol.
4%
41.0+
$259 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating at around 40% on April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% bin leading at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the late 30s to low 40s. Surveys from the past week, including AP-NORC at 38% and Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, underscore stability amid surging fuel prices and waning support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, which have driven disapproval to record highs and net ratings near -16. Economic dissatisfaction on prices and inflation remains a key drag, with no major catalysts like debates or legislative votes scheduled before resolution to shift sentiment significantly.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volumen
$1,901Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating at around 40% on April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% bin leading at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the late 30s to low 40s. Surveys from the past week, including AP-NORC at 38% and Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, underscore stability amid surging fuel prices and waning support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, which have driven disapproval to record highs and net ratings near -16. Economic dissatisfaction on prices and inflation remains a key drag, with no major catalysts like debates or legislative votes scheduled before resolution to shift sentiment significantly.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$1,901Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating at around 40% on April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% bin leading at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the late 30s to low 40s. Surveys from the past week, including AP-NORC at 38% and Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, underscore stability amid surging fuel prices and waning support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, which have driven disapproval to record highs and net ratings near -16. Economic dissatisfaction on prices and inflation remains a key drag, with no major catalysts like debates or legislative votes scheduled before resolution to shift sentiment significantly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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