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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Market icon

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Kelly Loeffler 26%

Pam Bondi 23%

Howard Lutnick 21%

Sean Duffy 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Kelly Loeffler 26%

Pam Bondi 23%

Howard Lutnick 21%

Sean Duffy 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Kelly Loeffler

$0 Vol.

26%

Pam Bondi

$1 Vol.

23%

Howard Lutnick

$0 Vol.

21%

Sean Duffy

$0 Vol.

21%

Brooke Rollins

$0 Vol.

21%

Jamieson Greer

$0 Vol.

21%

Doug Burgum

$0 Vol.

20%

Linda McMahon

$0 Vol.

20%

John Ratcliffe

$1 Vol.

19%

J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

19%

Scott Bessent

$0 Vol.

19%

Susie Wiles

$0 Vol.

19%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$0 Vol.

19%

Russell T. Vought

$0 Vol.

18%

Scott Turner

$0 Vol.

18%

Chris Wright

$0 Vol.

18%

Mike Waltz

$0 Vol.

18%

Pete Hegseth

$0 Vol.

18%

Doug Collins

$0 Vol.

18%

Tulsi Gabbard

$0 Vol.

17%

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

16%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$20 Vol.

6%

Lee Zeldin

$0 Vol.

5%

None before 2027

$40 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$62
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kelly Loeffler" at 26%, followed by "Pam Bondi" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?" is "Kelly Loeffler" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pam Bondi" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.