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Política·Armario

¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Armario

¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$74,166 Vol.

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$74,166 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 on a 51-45 vote, continues to serve actively over a year into President Trump's second term, driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus that he will not depart by March 31. Recent Democratic letters, including Rep. Mike Levin's mid-March demands for resignation over alleged Epstein ties revealed in DOJ files and his firm's tariff-related profits following a Supreme Court ruling, have generated partisan pressure but elicited no White House response or procedural shifts like a dismissal or withdrawal announcement. Lutnick's ongoing engagements, such as recent EXIM Conference appearances and Section 232 trade probes, underscore positional stability. Only an abrupt presidential firing, sudden health event, or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter this before resolution.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 on a 51-45 vote, continues to serve actively over a year into President Trump's second term, driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus that he will not depart by March 31. Recent Democratic letters, including Rep. Mike Levin's mid-March demands for resignation over alleged Epstein ties revealed in DOJ files and his firm's tariff-related profits following a Supreme Court ruling, have generated partisan pressure but elicited no White House response or procedural shifts like a dismissal or withdrawal announcement. Lutnick's ongoing engagements, such as recent EXIM Conference appearances and Section 232 trade probes, underscore positional stability. Only an abrupt presidential firing, sudden health event, or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter this before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 on a 51-45 vote, continues to serve actively over a year into President Trump's second term, driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus that he will not depart by March 31. Recent Democratic letters, including Rep. Mike Levin's mid-March demands for resignation over alleged Epstein ties revealed in DOJ files and his firm's tariff-related profits following a Supreme Court ruling, have generated partisan pressure but elicited no White House response or procedural shifts like a dismissal or withdrawal announcement. Lutnick's ongoing engagements, such as recent EXIM Conference appearances and Section 232 trade probes, underscore positional stability. Only an abrupt presidential firing, sudden health event, or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter this before resolution.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 on a 51-45 vote, continues to serve actively over a year into President Trump's second term, driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus that he will not depart by March 31. Recent Democratic letters, including Rep. Mike Levin's mid-March demands for resignation over alleged Epstein ties revealed in DOJ files and his firm's tariff-related profits following a Supreme Court ruling, have generated partisan pressure but elicited no White House response or procedural shifts like a dismissal or withdrawal announcement. Lutnick's ongoing engagements, such as recent EXIM Conference appearances and Section 232 trade probes, underscore positional stability. Only an abrupt presidential firing, sudden health event, or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter this before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $74.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

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