Armario predicciones y probabilidades

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¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?
Armario·PolíTica

¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?

21%

Pam Bondi

$33.6K Vol.

$130K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

¿Pam Bondi como Fiscal General antes del 31 de marzo?
Armario·PolíTica

¿Pam Bondi como Fiscal General antes del 31 de marzo?

10%

$32.8K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?
Armario·PolíTica

¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de marzo?

9%

$5.9K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de marzo?
Armario·PolíTica

¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de marzo?

4%

$140K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

¿Miembro del gabinete de Trump fuera por...?
Armario·PolíTica

¿Miembro del gabinete de Trump fuera por...?

83%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$408 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Armario.

Polymarket currently hosts 5 active markets for Armario that lets you track or trade on predictions like "¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $213K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "¿Pam Bondi como Fiscal General antes del 31 de marzo?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "¿Quién será el próximo en abandonar el gabinete de Trump?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de marzo?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Armario predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.