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¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?

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¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$355,053 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$355,053 Vol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$73,194 Vol.

53%

Tulsi Gabbard

$0 Vol.

44%

Pam Bondi

$38,006 Vol.

43%

Kash Patel

$111,802 Vol.

42%

Dan Scavino

$0 Vol.

40%

John Ratcliffe

$0 Vol.

39%

Karoline Leavitt

$0 Vol.

35%

Howard Lutnick

$28,814 Vol.

32%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$60,585 Vol.

30%

Pete Hegseth

$3,747 Vol.

30%

Susie Wiles

$31,452 Vol.

27%

Stephen Miller

$472 Vol.

25%

Scott Bessent

$0 Vol.

16%

Marco Rubio

$1,837 Vol.

15%

Lee Zeldin

$0 Vol.

13%

Tom Homan

$0 Vol.

21%

Russell Vought

$0 Vol.

16%

David Sacks

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$355,053
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Bongino" at 100%, followed by "Kristi Noem" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?" has generated $355.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?" is "Dan Bongino" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kristi Noem" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Quién dejará la Administración Trump antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.