Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán por...?
¿Reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán por...?
$10,778,621 Vol.
31 mar 2026
15 de marzo
No
31 de marzo
No
10 de abril
No
11 de abril
Sí
12 de abril
Sí
13 de abril
Sí
14 de abril
Sí
15 de abril
Sí
30 de abril
Sí
31 de mayo
Sí
15 de junio
Sí
30 de junio
Sí
$10,778,621 Vol.
15 de marzo
$245,591 Vol.
No
31 de marzo
$739,420 Vol.
No
10 de abril
$7,115,645 Vol.
No
11 de abril
$587,177 Vol.
Sí
12 de abril
$70,246 Vol.
Sí
13 de abril
$32,638 Vol.
Sí
14 de abril
$24,118 Vol.
Sí
15 de abril
$719,631 Vol.
Sí
30 de abril
$946,176 Vol.
Sí
31 de mayo
$53,709 Vol.
Sí
15 de junio
$46,741 Vol.
Sí
30 de junio
$197,530 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$10,778,621Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,778,621Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes