Amid stalled direct talks since April's Islamabad session—where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—diplomatic momentum hinges on Iran's May 10 response to a U.S. memorandum, transmitted via Pakistan and prioritizing regional ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz security, and sanctions relief before nuclear discussions. President Trump has dismissed prior Iranian proposals as unacceptable, imposing deadlines amid fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Mediators including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey coordinate exchanges, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio engaging counterparts; the next face-to-face meeting's venue, timing, and delegations remain unconfirmed, potentially featuring familiar U.S. negotiators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,156,188 Vol.
Donald Trump
6%
Marco Rubio
7%
J.D. Vance
39%
Jared Kushner
71%
Steve Witkoff
70%
$1,156,188 Vol.
Donald Trump
6%
Marco Rubio
7%
J.D. Vance
39%
Jared Kushner
71%
Steve Witkoff
70%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid stalled direct talks since April's Islamabad session—where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—diplomatic momentum hinges on Iran's May 10 response to a U.S. memorandum, transmitted via Pakistan and prioritizing regional ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz security, and sanctions relief before nuclear discussions. President Trump has dismissed prior Iranian proposals as unacceptable, imposing deadlines amid fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Mediators including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey coordinate exchanges, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio engaging counterparts; the next face-to-face meeting's venue, timing, and delegations remain unconfirmed, potentially featuring familiar U.S. negotiators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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