President Trump's recent statement that an Iran ceasefire is on "life support" underscores ongoing tensions driving trader consensus on the timeline for announcing a US blockade lift on Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, imposed in mid-April 2026 after failed peace talks amid Iran's February closure of the vital waterway. The administration paused "Project Freedom"—a May 4 operation to escort commercial vessels through the strait—about a week ago at Iran's request to advance a deal, with Energy Secretary Chris Wright confirming the halt two days ago, yet no formal lifting has occurred. Traders weigh fragile diplomacy, naval presence, and escalation risks, with potential resumption of escorts or deal breakthroughs as key near-term catalysts ahead of May 31 deadlines in related markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTrump orders US Navy to maintain blockade with heightened military readiness, tripling mine-clearing operations and confirming no lift announcement, causing a
June 30 drops to 59%12%
Trump orders US Navy to maintain blockade with heightened military readiness, tripling mine-clearing operations and confirming no lift announcement, causing a
Iran’s foreign minister announces the Strait of Hormuz is open to commercial traffic for the duration of a ceasefire, and Trump posts on Truth Social that the waterway is “fully
June 30 surges to 71%15%
Iran’s foreign minister announces the Strait of Hormuz is open to commercial traffic for the duration of a ceasefire, and Trump posts on Truth Social that the waterway is “fully open and ready for business,” sparking optimism and a surge in market
US forces seize an Iranian-flagged tanker attempting to evade the blockade, while Iran captures two vessels in retaliation, escalating military tensions and reducing likelihood of
June 30 jumps to 56%5%
US forces seize an Iranian-flagged tanker attempting to evade the blockade, while Iran captures two vessels in retaliation, escalating military tensions and reducing likelihood of a blockade lift announcement soon
Iran re-imposes strict military control of the strait, firing on two Indian-flagged ships and stating the waterway would stay closed until the U.S.
lifts its blockade, escalating tensions and reducing likelihood of a blockade lift announcement soon
Cryptobriefing notes a market‑wide drop to 26% “Yes” after a week of mixed signals, confirming that no official lift announcement had been made and that the blockade remained
Cryptobriefing notes a market‑wide drop to 26% “Yes” after a week of mixed signals, confirming that no official lift announcement had been made and that the blockade remained fully in effect (baseline snapshot).
U.S. Central Command denies Iranian claims of striking a U.S.
May 31 dips to 26%1%
warship, while Tehran issues a four‑week ultimatum demanding blockade removal, keeping tensions high
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift the Hormuz blockade amid fears of Houthi retaliation, adding diplomatic pressure but no U.S. policy change
May 31 dips to 27%1%
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift the Hormuz blockade amid fears of Houthi retaliation, adding diplomatic pressure but no U.S. policy change
Iran announces partial reopening of the Strait for commercial vessels during a ceasefire, but President Trump states the US naval blockade remains in full force until a deal is
June 30 rises to 24%2%
Iran announces partial reopening of the Strait for commercial vessels during a ceasefire, but President Trump states the US naval blockade remains in full force until a deal is reached, causing market volatility without clear lift signals
Iran’s super‑tanker “HUGE” evades U.S.
May 31 drops to 28%13%
naval forces, delivering two million barrels of oil to Indonesia, highlighting enforcement challenges and reducing lift‑announcement expectations
Iran re‑imposes strict military control of the strait, firing on two Indian‑flagged ships and stating the waterway will stay closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade
May 31 dips to 41%2%
Iran re‑imposes strict military control of the strait, firing on two Indian‑flagged ships and stating the waterway will stay closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade
Saudi Arabia publicly urged the United States to lift the blockade to avoid regional escalation;
May 31 drops to 27%7%
the appeal failed to produce a U.S. announcement, pushing odds lower
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard re‑asserts strict military control of the strait and warns vessels will be targeted;
May 15 dips to 6%4%
Vice‑President J.D. Vance says the U.S. will maintain the blockade
Reports confirm President Trump directs aides to prepare for a prolonged US naval blockade after failed peace talks and Iran’s refusal to meet US conditions, lowering expectations
Reports confirm President Trump directs aides to prepare for a prolonged US naval blockade after failed peace talks and Iran’s refusal to meet US conditions, lowering expectations for an early lift
Continued absence of any official US government or President Trump announcement lifting the blockade, combined with ongoing military enforcement and diplomatic stalemate, drives
May 22 dips to 12%2%
Continued absence of any official US government or President Trump announcement lifting the blockade, combined with ongoing military enforcement and diplomatic stalemate, drives the
Continued absence of any official US government or Trump announcement lifting the blockade, combined with persistent regional tensions and no diplomatic breakthroughs, drives the
May 15 drops to 3%13%
Continued absence of any official US government or Trump announcement lifting the blockade, combined with persistent regional tensions and no diplomatic breakthroughs, drives the
Market confidence drops sharply as no official announcement of blockade lifting occurs and tensions remain high, with Iran threatening retaliation and no diplomatic breakthrough
May 22 drops to 14%11%
Market confidence drops sharply as no official announcement of blockade lifting occurs and tensions remain high, with Iran threatening retaliation and no diplomatic breakthrough reported. This absence of progress pushed the
Iran’s supertanker evades US blockade, demonstrating enforcement challenges and reducing market confidence in a blockade lift announcement, contributing to a
May 15 rises to 16%2%
Iran’s supertanker evades US blockade, demonstrating enforcement challenges and reducing market confidence in a blockade lift announcement, contributing to a
UKMTO reports the threat level in the Strait remains “critical” amid heightened military activity, underscoring continued U.S. enforcement
May 31 plunges to 43%16%
UKMTO reports the threat level in the Strait remains “critical” amid heightened military activity, underscoring continued U.S. enforcement
President Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Tehran meets US nuclear
May 22 dips to 25%3%
President Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Tehran meets US nuclear demands, reinforcing expectations of a prolonged blockade. This rejection further lowered market optimism for lifting by May 15 or May 22
UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) reports the threat level in the Strait remains critical with ongoing military activity and enhanced security measures, reinforcing
May 15 rises to 14%4%
UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) reports the threat level in the Strait remains critical with ongoing military activity and enhanced security measures, reinforcing expectations of a prolonged blockade and pushing
Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the strait in exchange for lifting the blockade, declaring the blockade will stay until Tehran meets U.S. nuclear demands
May 31 plunges to 59%15%
Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the strait in exchange for lifting the blockade, declaring the blockade will stay until Tehran meets U.S. nuclear demands
President Trump posts on Truth Social that the blockade will remain “in full force and effect” until a “100% complete” US-Iran deal is achieved, definitively signaling no lift
May 8 plunges to 1%29%
President Trump posts on Truth Social that the blockade will remain “in full force and effect” until a “100% complete” US-Iran deal is achieved, definitively signaling no lift before May 8
U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance stated the next move was Iran’s, reiterating that the U.S. would maintain the blockade
May 31 drops to 34%11%
U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance stated the next move was Iran’s, reiterating that the U.S. would maintain the blockade
Trump authorises the U.S. Navy to “shoot and kill” any boats laying mines and to target Iranian fast‑boats, heightening escalation and confirming the blockade will stay in place
May 15 drops to 8%5%
Trump authorises the U.S. Navy to “shoot and kill” any boats laying mines and to target Iranian fast‑boats, heightening escalation and confirming the blockade will stay in place
President Trump publicly rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Iran meets US nuclear
May 15 plunges to 10%25%
President Trump publicly rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Iran meets US nuclear demands. This firm stance causes a sharp
President Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Tehran meets US nuclear
June 30 plunges to 4%70%
President Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Tehran meets US nuclear demands, reinforcing expectations of a prolonged blockade
U.S. announces an indefinite cease-fire that permits oil tankers to transit the strait while stating the blockade “will remain in full force” until a deal is reached.
May 22 drops to 30%13%
Iran reverses reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, resuming its blockade and firing on ships attempting passage after the US refuses to lift its blockade of Iranian ports. Saudi Arabia publicly urges the US to lift the blockade amid fears of retaliation. These developments increased tensions and reduced optimism for lifting
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the US to lift the blockade to avoid regional escalation, but no US official statement indicates lifting, maintaining low market confidence
May 8 drops to 3%6%
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the US to lift the blockade to avoid regional escalation, but no US official statement indicates lifting, maintaining low market confidence
US forces seize an Iranian-flagged tanker attempting to evade the blockade, while Iran captures two vessels in retaliation, escalating military tensions and reducing likelihood of
May 8 dips to 3%2%
US forces seize an Iranian-flagged tanker attempting to evade the blockade, while Iran captures two vessels in retaliation, escalating military tensions and reducing likelihood of a blockade lift announcement soon
President Trump orders US Navy to "shoot and kill" any Iranian boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and triples mine-clearing efforts, signaling escalation and no intention
May 22 surges to 41%22%
President Trump orders US Navy to "shoot and kill" any Iranian boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and triples mine-clearing efforts, signaling escalation and no intention to lift the blockade soon. This hardened military stance increased market confidence in a prolonged blockade
No new official announcement of a blockade lift appears;
the continued absence of a qualifying statement keeps the “Yes”
White House spokesperson reiterates that the U.S.
June 30 drops to 59%12%
naval blockade remains “fully in effect” until a deal is reached, dampening lift‑expectations and pulling the
Trump orders US Navy to "shoot and kill" any Iranian boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and triples mine-clearing operations, signaling escalation and confirming the
June 30 jumps to 74%11%
Trump orders US Navy to "shoot and kill" any Iranian boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and triples mine-clearing operations, signaling escalation and confirming the blockade will stay in force, causing market swings
The Guardian live‑blog notes Trump’s pause of the ship‑guidance effort and his statement that the blockade “will remain in full force and effect”
May 8 drops to 3%5%
The Guardian live‑blog notes Trump’s pause of the ship‑guidance effort and his statement that the blockade “will remain in full force and effect”
Iran’s foreign minister announces the Strait of Hormuz is open to commercial traffic for the duration of a cease‑fire, and Trump posts on Truth Social that the waterway is “fully
June 30 surges to 71%15%
Iran’s foreign minister announces the Strait of Hormuz is open to commercial traffic for the duration of a cease‑fire, and Trump posts on Truth Social that the waterway is “fully open and ready for business,” sparking optimism that the U.S. blockade could be lifted
US returns seized Iranian cargo ship Touska amid ongoing blockade enforcement and Project Freedom operations, indicating a tactical shift but no blockade lift.
May 15 dips to 8%3%
This mixed signal supports continued low
President Trump launches "Project Freedom," directing the US Navy to guide stranded commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports,
June 30 jumps to 63%7%
President Trump launches "Project Freedom," directing the US Navy to guide stranded commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports, signaling a partial reopening but no full lift yet
Trump announces "Project Freedom" to guide neutral commercial ships through the Strait while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports, clarifying the blockade remains in full
May 8 dips to 4%2%
Trump announces "Project Freedom" to guide neutral commercial ships through the Strait while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports, clarifying the blockade remains in full effect
President Trump launches "Project Freedom," directing the US Navy to guide stranded commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports,
May 22 rises to 21%2%
President Trump launches "Project Freedom," directing the US Navy to guide stranded commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports, signaling a partial reopening but no full lift announced. This partial reopening caused minor market fluctuations but no optimism for a full lift
U.S. officials warn that congressional approval will be needed to extend the blockade past the May 1 War Powers Resolution deadline, underscoring that no lift has been announced
U.S. officials warn that congressional approval will be needed to extend the blockade past the May 1 War Powers Resolution deadline, underscoring that no lift has been announced and that the operation is set to continue
Trump posts on Truth Social that “Project Freedom” will be paused for a short period while negotiations progress, again stressing the blockade remains in effect
May 8 dips to 8%4%
Trump posts on Truth Social that “Project Freedom” will be paused for a short period while negotiations progress, again stressing the blockade remains in effect
President Trump launches "Project Freedom," directing the US Navy to guide stranded neutral commercial ships through the Strait while maintaining the blockade on Iranian ports.
May 15 drops to 11%9%
This partial reopening causes minor market fluctuations but no lifting announcement, contributing to a
Trump launches “Project Freedom,” ordering the Navy to escort neutral commercial vessels through the strait while explicitly stating the blockade remains in force
May 31 drops to 74%5%
Trump launches “Project Freedom,” ordering the Navy to escort neutral commercial vessels through the strait while explicitly stating the blockade remains in force
US issues warnings to shipping firms against paying Iranian tolls and enforces strict blockade measures, signaling no near-term lifting of the blockade
May 8 drops to 4%5%
US issues warnings to shipping firms against paying Iranian tolls and enforces strict blockade measures, signaling no near-term lifting of the blockade
Trump’s Truth Social post reiterates that the blockade “will remain in full force” until Tehran reaches a deal, providing a definitive official statement that the blockade is not
May 22 drops to 16%10%
Trump’s Truth Social post reiterates that the blockade “will remain in full force” until Tehran reaches a deal, providing a definitive official statement that the blockade is not being lifted
The White House warned shipping firms not to pay Iranian “tolls,” reinforcing strict enforcement and dampening hopes of a lift
May 31 plunges to 45%15%
The White House warned shipping firms not to pay Iranian “tolls,” reinforcing strict enforcement and dampening hopes of a lift
Trump posts on Truth Social that the blockade will stay “in full force and effect” until a “100 % complete” U.S.–Iran transaction is achieved, reinforcing market belief that a
May 8 dips to 5%3%
Trump posts on Truth Social that the blockade will stay “in full force and effect” until a “100 % complete” U.S.–Iran transaction is achieved, reinforcing market belief that a lift before May 8 is unlikely
U.S. officials warn shipping firms not to pay Iranian tolls, reinforcing strict enforcement of the blockade
May 15 drops to 11%5%
U.S. officials warn shipping firms not to pay Iranian tolls, reinforcing strict enforcement of the blockade
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift the Hormuz blockade to avoid regional escalation and Houthi retaliation, highlighting growing diplomatic pressure but no U.S.
May 22 dips to 26%2%
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift the Hormuz blockade to avoid regional escalation and Houthi retaliation, highlighting growing diplomatic pressure but no U.S. lift announcement
Trump announces “Project Freedom,” a U.S.
May 8 drops to 12%10%
operation to guide stranded ships out of the Strait of Hormuz, but makes clear the blockade itself is unchanged
U.S. Central Command issues a statement confirming continued enforcement of the blockade and no indication of an upcoming lift
May 8 dips to 8%3%
U.S. Central Command issues a statement confirming continued enforcement of the blockade and no indication of an upcoming lift
Trump directed aides to prepare for a prolonged blockade, confirming the measure would stay in force beyond the 60‑day War Powers limit
May 31 drops to 60%14%
Trump directed aides to prepare for a prolonged blockade, confirming the measure would stay in force beyond the 60‑day War Powers limit
Iran reverses reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, resumes blockade, and fires on ships attempting passage after the US refuses to lift its blockade of Iranian ports.
May 15 dips to 20%2%
Trump confirms the blockade remains fully in effect, escalating tensions and reducing odds of a near-term lift. This event corresponds with a
No official US government or President Trump announcement lifting the blockade is made by the deadline, confirming market expectations and driving
April 30 dips to 0%3%
No official US government or President Trump announcement lifting the blockade is made by the deadline, confirming market expectations and driving
Trump reiterates that the U.S. blockade “will remain in full force and effect” in a Truth Social post, despite earlier talk of opening the strait
May 8 plunges to 30%22%
Trump reiterates that the U.S. blockade “will remain in full force and effect” in a Truth Social post, despite earlier talk of opening the strait
CNBC reports Trump’s statement that the blockade will stay until Iran agrees to a nuclear deal, underscoring no imminent lift
May 8 drops to 22%8%
CNBC reports Trump’s statement that the blockade will stay until Iran agrees to a nuclear deal, underscoring no imminent lift
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift the Hormuz blockade to avoid regional escalation, highlighting diplomatic pressure on Trump
May 8 drops to 11%11%
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift the Hormuz blockade to avoid regional escalation, highlighting diplomatic pressure on Trump
U.S. Central Command confirms the blockade continues “impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports,” and states that ships transiting to
May 22 dips to 26%4%
U.S. Central Command confirms the blockade continues “impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports,” and states that ships transiting to non‑Iranian ports are still allowed
Trump publicly rejects Iran’s offer to reopen the strait and says the blockade will remain “in full force” until a deal is reached
May 15 drops to 10%10%
Trump publicly rejects Iran’s offer to reopen the strait and says the blockade will remain “in full force” until a deal is reached
Trump orders U.S. Navy to “shoot and kill” any Iranian boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, tripling mine‑clearing operations and confirming the blockade will stay in force
June 30 plunges to 56%15%
Trump orders U.S. Navy to “shoot and kill” any Iranian boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, tripling mine‑clearing operations and confirming the blockade will stay in force
Reports confirm President Trump directs aides to prepare for a prolonged US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after peace talks collapse and Iran rejects partial reopening
May 22 plunges to 16%44%
Reports confirm President Trump directs aides to prepare for a prolonged US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after peace talks collapse and Iran rejects partial reopening offers, signaling low near-term prospects for lifting the blockade. This official preparation caused a sharp drop in market confidence for lifting by April 30
Reports confirm sanctioned tankers continue to pass through the Strait despite the blockade, exposing enforcement gaps but no official lifting announcement.
April 30 dips to 3%3%
Traders interpret this as erosion of blockade effectiveness but not a formal end, pushing
President Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Tehran meets US nuclear
May 8 plunges to 10%42%
President Trump rejects Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the blockade, stating the blockade will continue until Tehran meets US nuclear demands, reinforcing expectations of a prolonged blockade
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announces the Strait of Hormuz is fully closed until the U.S.
May 22 plunges to 30%30%
blockade is lifted, warning vessels that any approach will be treated as hostile
President Trump directs aides to prepare for an extended blockade, underscoring a strategy of sustained pressure on Iran amid stalled diplomacy and no lifting announcement.
April 30 drops to 6%7%
This official preparation for prolonging the blockade further reduced market confidence in lifting by April 30
White House aides directed to prepare for an “extended” Hormuz blockade, signalling no near‑term lift despite diplomatic overtures
May 31 drops to 79%6%
White House aides directed to prepare for an “extended” Hormuz blockade, signalling no near‑term lift despite diplomatic overtures
President Trump tells aides to prepare for a prolonged U.S.
May 15 jumps to 39%5%
naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, signalling no near‑term lift
President Trump directs aides to prepare for a prolonged US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed US-Iran peace talks and Iran’s rejected proposal to reopen the
May 15 drops to 22%12%
President Trump directs aides to prepare for a prolonged US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed US-Iran peace talks and Iran’s rejected proposal to reopen the strait only if sanctions are lifted. This signals low near-term prospects for lifting the blockade, causing initial
Iran offers to reopen the Strait if the US lifts its blockade and ends the war, but Trump and US officials reject the offer as insufficient, maintaining blockade conditions.
April 30 drops to 13%11%
This diplomatic stalemate pushed market odds lower
Trump ordered the Navy to “shoot and kill” any boats laying mines in the strait and tripled mine‑clearing operations, signalling no imminent lift
May 31 drops to 74%6%
Trump ordered the Navy to “shoot and kill” any boats laying mines in the strait and tripled mine‑clearing operations, signalling no imminent lift
President Trump orders US Navy to "shoot and kill" any boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and triples mine-clearing efforts, signaling escalation and no intention to lift
April 30 drops to 16%12%
President Trump orders US Navy to "shoot and kill" any boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and triples mine-clearing efforts, signaling escalation and no intention to lift blockade soon. This hardened stance contributed to further
U.S. announces an indefinite cease‑fire that permits oil tankers to transit the strait while stating the blockade “will remain in full force” until a deal is reached
May 8 drops to 5%6%
U.S. announces an indefinite cease‑fire that permits oil tankers to transit the strait while stating the blockade “will remain in full force” until a deal is reached
Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz again after US maintains blockade;
April 30 plunges to 38%30%
Iranian Foreign Minister had briefly declared it open tied to a ceasefire, but the US refusal to lift blockade led to reclosure, causing market uncertainty and a sharp
U.S. Navy seized an Iranian‑flagged tanker attempting to evade the blockade;
May 31 rises to 80%3%
Iran captured two U.S.‑linked vessels in retaliation
US forces seize an Iranian-flagged tanker attempting to evade the blockade, reinforcing US enforcement and signaling no imminent lifting.
April 30 drops to 50%10%
This action likely contributed to a
Iran reverses reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, resuming its blockade and firing on ships attempting passage, after the US refuses to lift its blockade of Iranian ports.
April 30 plunges to 38%25%
Trump confirms the US blockade remains fully in effect, escalating tensions and reducing odds of a near-term lifting
Iran re‑imposed strict military control of the strait, firing on two Indian‑flagged ships and stating the waterway would stay closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade
May 31 drops to 77%6%
Iran re‑imposed strict military control of the strait, firing on two Indian‑flagged ships and stating the waterway would stay closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard again closes the strait and threatens vessels, signalling that any U.S. lift would be moot
May 8 drops to 22%9%
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard again closes the strait and threatens vessels, signalling that any U.S. lift would be moot
Iran announces full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, but Trump reiterates the U.S.
May 8 plunges to 31%21%
blockade will remain in effect
Iran announces full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz;
May 8 plunges to 31%21%
Trump replies on Truth Social that the naval blockade “will remain in full force” despite the opening
Iranian FM Seyed Abbas Araghchi declared the strait “completely open” for the cease‑fire;
May 31 rises to 83%4%
Trump praised the opening on Truth Social, but warned the blockade would remain
Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine said U.S.
May 31 dips to 79%2%
forces would “actively pursue any Iranian‑flagged vessel…providing material support to Iran,” underscoring continued enforcement
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift its Hormuz blockade amid fears of Houthi retaliation, adding diplomatic pressure on Washington
May 8 plunges to 11%20%
Saudi Arabia publicly urges the United States to lift its Hormuz blockade amid fears of Houthi retaliation, adding diplomatic pressure on Washington
President Donald Trump announced the U.S.
May 31 surges to 81%33%
naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, effective immediately after peace talks collapsed
Trump posts on Truth Social announcing a U.S.
May 31 surges to 85%37%
naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, citing “illegal tolls” on ships bound for Iranian ports
President Donald Trump announces immediate US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, imposing restrictions on Iranian ports
President Donald Trump announces immediate US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, imposing restrictions on Iranian ports and shipping to pressure Tehran. This initial announcement set the market near 49%-60% Yes as traders
President Donald Trump announces the imposition of a US naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz following failed US-Iran nuclear talks, initiating the blockade that underpins the
President Donald Trump announces the imposition of a US naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz following failed US-Iran nuclear talks, initiating the blockade that underpins the market question
President Trump announces immediate US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, imposing restrictions on Iranian ports and
April 30 jumps to 60%11%
President Trump announces immediate US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following failed peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, imposing restrictions on Iranian ports and shipping to pressure Tehran. This initial announcement set the market near 49%-60% Yes as traders
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