US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington marked a rare diplomatic breakthrough on April 14—the first since 1993—focusing on extending a 10-day ceasefire, disarming Hezbollah, and peace pathways, though Hezbollah rejected involvement and fired rockets during the session. Ongoing hostilities persist, with Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders in Beirut as recently as early May, amid a March escalation including the Battle of Khiam. A second round of Israel-Lebanon negotiations is set for May 14-15, potentially advancing de-escalation, but trader consensus reflects skepticism on direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy by May 31 given the militant group's exclusion, vows of resistance, and active cross-border fire, requiring major concessions for any bilateral meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
$28,904 Vol.
31 may 2026
May 31
5%
$28,904 Vol.
May 31
$10,103 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington marked a rare diplomatic breakthrough on April 14—the first since 1993—focusing on extending a 10-day ceasefire, disarming Hezbollah, and peace pathways, though Hezbollah rejected involvement and fired rockets during the session. Ongoing hostilities persist, with Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders in Beirut as recently as early May, amid a March escalation including the Battle of Khiam. A second round of Israel-Lebanon negotiations is set for May 14-15, potentially advancing de-escalation, but trader consensus reflects skepticism on direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy by May 31 given the militant group's exclusion, vows of resistance, and active cross-border fire, requiring major concessions for any bilateral meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volumen
$28,904Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington marked a rare diplomatic breakthrough on April 14—the first since 1993—focusing on extending a 10-day ceasefire, disarming Hezbollah, and peace pathways, though Hezbollah rejected involvement and fired rockets during the session. Ongoing hostilities persist, with Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders in Beirut as recently as early May, amid a March escalation including the Battle of Khiam. A second round of Israel-Lebanon negotiations is set for May 14-15, potentially advancing de-escalation, but trader consensus reflects skepticism on direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy by May 31 given the militant group's exclusion, vows of resistance, and active cross-border fire, requiring major concessions for any bilateral meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$28,904Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington marked a rare diplomatic breakthrough on April 14—the first since 1993—focusing on extending a 10-day ceasefire, disarming Hezbollah, and peace pathways, though Hezbollah rejected involvement and fired rockets during the session. Ongoing hostilities persist, with Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders in Beirut as recently as early May, amid a March escalation including the Battle of Khiam. A second round of Israel-Lebanon negotiations is set for May 14-15, potentially advancing de-escalation, but trader consensus reflects skepticism on direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy by May 31 given the militant group's exclusion, vows of resistance, and active cross-border fire, requiring major concessions for any bilateral meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes