Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026, the Assembly of Experts appointed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Iran's new Supreme Leader on March 8 amid escalating regional tensions. However, Mojtaba has made no public appearances since, fueling persistent health rumors—including severe facial burns, multiple surgeries, and a potential prosthetic leg from the same airstrikes that killed his father—despite President Masoud Pezeshkian's confirmation of a meeting on May 7. Revolutionary Guards generals now exercise significant collective authority, navigating diplomacy like Hormuz Strait talks and U.S. negotiations. Traders assess risks of further succession instability versus regime consolidation, with no confirmed upcoming Assembly sessions or major diplomatic summits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$13,072,210 Vol.
31 may 2026
31 de mayo
6%
30 de junio
11%
31 de diciembre
33%
$13,072,210 Vol.
31 de mayo
$1,681,415 Vol.
6%
30 de junio
$929,947 Vol.
11%
31 de diciembre
$2,264,967 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026, the Assembly of Experts appointed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Iran's new Supreme Leader on March 8 amid escalating regional tensions. However, Mojtaba has made no public appearances since, fueling persistent health rumors—including severe facial burns, multiple surgeries, and a potential prosthetic leg from the same airstrikes that killed his father—despite President Masoud Pezeshkian's confirmation of a meeting on May 7. Revolutionary Guards generals now exercise significant collective authority, navigating diplomacy like Hormuz Strait talks and U.S. negotiations. Traders assess risks of further succession instability versus regime consolidation, with no confirmed upcoming Assembly sessions or major diplomatic summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volumen
$13,072,210Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026, the Assembly of Experts appointed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Iran's new Supreme Leader on March 8 amid escalating regional tensions. However, Mojtaba has made no public appearances since, fueling persistent health rumors—including severe facial burns, multiple surgeries, and a potential prosthetic leg from the same airstrikes that killed his father—despite President Masoud Pezeshkian's confirmation of a meeting on May 7. Revolutionary Guards generals now exercise significant collective authority, navigating diplomacy like Hormuz Strait talks and U.S. negotiations. Traders assess risks of further succession instability versus regime consolidation, with no confirmed upcoming Assembly sessions or major diplomatic summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$13,072,210Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026, the Assembly of Experts appointed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Iran's new Supreme Leader on March 8 amid escalating regional tensions. However, Mojtaba has made no public appearances since, fueling persistent health rumors—including severe facial burns, multiple surgeries, and a potential prosthetic leg from the same airstrikes that killed his father—despite President Masoud Pezeshkian's confirmation of a meeting on May 7. Revolutionary Guards generals now exercise significant collective authority, navigating diplomacy like Hormuz Strait talks and U.S. negotiations. Traders assess risks of further succession instability versus regime consolidation, with no confirmed upcoming Assembly sessions or major diplomatic summits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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