Trader consensus strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 (76%), reflecting the Ukraine war's entrenched stalemate, where recent Russian advances in Donetsk amid North Korean troop reinforcements underscore ongoing escalation over de-escalation. Zelenskyy's demands for full territorial restoration and NATO path clash irreconcilably with Putin's insistence on recognizing annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas, as reiterated in December Kremlin statements rejecting unconditional talks. Despite mediation pushes—Erdogan's Turkey hosting indirect grain deal extensions, Saudi Arabia's prior delegations, and Orban's Hungary shuttling messages—no bilateral summit has occurred since the 2022 invasion. Incoming Trump administration diplomacy hints at US-hosted talks, but historical failed ceasefires and mutual distrust keep alternative venues like Qatar/UAE or Switzerland at low odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo habrá reunión antes de 2027 76%
Turquía 3.0%
Qatar / EAU 3.0%
EE. UU. 2.6%
$1,347,259 Vol.
$1,347,259 Vol.

No habrá reunión antes de 2027
76%

Turquía
3%

Qatar / EAU
3%

EE. UU.
3%

Hungría
2%

Suiza
2%

Arabia Saudita
2%

Rusia
2%

Bielorrusia
1%

Italia / Vaticano
1%

Kazajistán
1%

China
1%

Ucrania
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: India
1%
No habrá reunión antes de 2027 76%
Turquía 3.0%
Qatar / EAU 3.0%
EE. UU. 2.6%
$1,347,259 Vol.
$1,347,259 Vol.

No habrá reunión antes de 2027
76%

Turquía
3%

Qatar / EAU
3%

EE. UU.
3%

Hungría
2%

Suiza
2%

Arabia Saudita
2%

Rusia
2%

Bielorrusia
1%

Italia / Vaticano
1%

Kazajistán
1%

China
1%

Ucrania
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: India
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 (76%), reflecting the Ukraine war's entrenched stalemate, where recent Russian advances in Donetsk amid North Korean troop reinforcements underscore ongoing escalation over de-escalation. Zelenskyy's demands for full territorial restoration and NATO path clash irreconcilably with Putin's insistence on recognizing annexed regions like Crimea and Donbas, as reiterated in December Kremlin statements rejecting unconditional talks. Despite mediation pushes—Erdogan's Turkey hosting indirect grain deal extensions, Saudi Arabia's prior delegations, and Orban's Hungary shuttling messages—no bilateral summit has occurred since the 2022 invasion. Incoming Trump administration diplomacy hints at US-hosted talks, but historical failed ceasefires and mutual distrust keep alternative venues like Qatar/UAE or Switzerland at low odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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