Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$23,430 Vol.
$23,430 Vol.
30 abr 2026
$23,430 Vol.
$23,430 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$23,430Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$23,430Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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