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Geopolítica·Derivados

¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Derivados

¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$1,414,024 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,414,024 Vol.

Polymarket

30%

$1,031,716 Vol.

<1%

50%

$382,308 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President Trump's early January 2026 revival of interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons—citing Arctic strategic positioning against China and Russia—included initial hints at potential force or tariffs, sparking diplomatic tensions with Denmark and Greenland leaders who firmly rejected any sale. He reversed course at the Davos conference on January 21, pledging no military action and claiming a vague "framework" discussed with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, though no concrete negotiations have advanced since. With no verifiable progress or scheduled talks in the past two months, trader consensus reflects deep skepticism on near-term acquisition before 2027, amid constitutional hurdles for territorial purchases requiring congressional approval and strong European opposition. The March 31 deadline looms without catalysts like summits or offers to shift sentiment.

President Trump's early January 2026 revival of interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons—citing Arctic strategic positioning against China and Russia—included initial hints at potential force or tariffs, sparking diplomatic tensions with Denmark and Greenland leaders who firmly rejected any sale. He reversed course at the Davos conference on January 21, pledging no military action and claiming a vague "framework" discussed with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, though no concrete negotiations have advanced since. With no verifiable progress or scheduled talks in the past two months, trader consensus reflects deep skepticism on near-term acquisition before 2027, amid constitutional hurdles for territorial purchases requiring congressional approval and strong European opposition. The March 31 deadline looms without catalysts like summits or offers to shift sentiment.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President Trump's early January 2026 revival of interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons—citing Arctic strategic positioning against China and Russia—included initial hints at potential force or tariffs, sparking diplomatic tensions with Denmark and Greenland leaders who firmly rejected any sale. He reversed course at the Davos conference on January 21, pledging no military action and claiming a vague "framework" discussed with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, though no concrete negotiations have advanced since. With no verifiable progress or scheduled talks in the past two months, trader consensus reflects deep skepticism on near-term acquisition before 2027, amid constitutional hurdles for territorial purchases requiring congressional approval and strong European opposition. The March 31 deadline looms without catalysts like summits or offers to shift sentiment.

President Trump's early January 2026 revival of interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons—citing Arctic strategic positioning against China and Russia—included initial hints at potential force or tariffs, sparking diplomatic tensions with Denmark and Greenland leaders who firmly rejected any sale. He reversed course at the Davos conference on January 21, pledging no military action and claiming a vague "framework" discussed with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, though no concrete negotiations have advanced since. With no verifiable progress or scheduled talks in the past two months, trader consensus reflects deep skepticism on near-term acquisition before 2027, amid constitutional hurdles for territorial purchases requiring congressional approval and strong European opposition. The March 31 deadline looms without catalysts like summits or offers to shift sentiment.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30%" con 0%, seguido de "50%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $1.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?" es "30%" con solo 0%, con "50%" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Probabilidades de que Trump adquiera Groenlandia antes de que 2027 llegue a __ antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.