Trump's December 2024 Truth Social post reviving his 2019 interest in acquiring Greenland has not shifted trader consensus, with "No" odds at 91.3% reflecting firm rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who stressed Greenland's self-determination, and Greenlandic Premier Múte B. Egede, who declared it "not for sale." Denmark views the territory—strategically vital for Arctic security—as non-negotiable, echoing 2019 rebuffs that canceled a Trump visit. Absent any official talks, diplomatic overtures, or seller incentives amid NATO ties and local autonomy pushes, traders price negligible odds of U.S. purchase before 2027, prioritizing geopolitical realities over rhetoric.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$30,689,207 Vol.
$30,689,207 Vol.
Sí
$30,689,207 Vol.
$30,689,207 Vol.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's December 2024 Truth Social post reviving his 2019 interest in acquiring Greenland has not shifted trader consensus, with "No" odds at 91.3% reflecting firm rejections from Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who stressed Greenland's self-determination, and Greenlandic Premier Múte B. Egede, who declared it "not for sale." Denmark views the territory—strategically vital for Arctic security—as non-negotiable, echoing 2019 rebuffs that canceled a Trump visit. Absent any official talks, diplomatic overtures, or seller incentives amid NATO ties and local autonomy pushes, traders price negligible odds of U.S. purchase before 2027, prioritizing geopolitical realities over rhetoric.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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