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¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?

Market icon

¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$679,639 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$679,639 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

31 de marzo

$673,403 Vol.

7%

Market icon

30 de abril

$6,236 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalated Israel-Iran tensions after Tehran's October 1 missile attack on Israel, the IDF's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military bases and missile facilities near Tehran and western provinces, explicitly sparing energy infrastructure like Kharg Island—the Persian Gulf terminal handling over 90% of Iran's sanctioned oil exports—to curb escalation and prevent global oil price surges. U.S. diplomatic pressure reinforced this restraint, with benchmarks like Brent crude holding steady post-strikes. Iran issued verbal retaliation threats but no major counteraction. Traders eye proxy risks from Hezbollah or Houthis, potential further diplomacy via UN channels, and any signals of de-escalation or renewed barrages that could shift strike probabilities before year-end.

Amid escalated Israel-Iran tensions after Tehran's October 1 missile attack on Israel, the IDF's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military bases and missile facilities near Tehran and western provinces, explicitly sparing energy infrastructure like Kharg Island—the Persian Gulf terminal handling over 90% of Iran's sanctioned oil exports—to curb escalation and prevent global oil price surges. U.S. diplomatic pressure reinforced this restraint, with benchmarks like Brent crude holding steady post-strikes. Iran issued verbal retaliation threats but no major counteraction. Traders eye proxy risks from Hezbollah or Houthis, potential further diplomacy via UN channels, and any signals of de-escalation or renewed barrages that could shift strike probabilities before year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalated Israel-Iran tensions after Tehran's October 1 missile attack on Israel, the IDF's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military bases and missile facilities near Tehran and western provinces, explicitly sparing energy infrastructure like Kharg Island—the Persian Gulf terminal handling over 90% of Iran's sanctioned oil exports—to curb escalation and prevent global oil price surges. U.S. diplomatic pressure reinforced this restraint, with benchmarks like Brent crude holding steady post-strikes. Iran issued verbal retaliation threats but no major counteraction. Traders eye proxy risks from Hezbollah or Houthis, potential further diplomacy via UN channels, and any signals of de-escalation or renewed barrages that could shift strike probabilities before year-end.

Amid escalated Israel-Iran tensions after Tehran's October 1 missile attack on Israel, the IDF's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian military bases and missile facilities near Tehran and western provinces, explicitly sparing energy infrastructure like Kharg Island—the Persian Gulf terminal handling over 90% of Iran's sanctioned oil exports—to curb escalation and prevent global oil price surges. U.S. diplomatic pressure reinforced this restraint, with benchmarks like Brent crude holding steady post-strikes. Iran issued verbal retaliation threats but no major counteraction. Traders eye proxy risks from Hezbollah or Houthis, potential further diplomacy via UN channels, and any signals of de-escalation or renewed barrages that could shift strike probabilities before year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 31%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" ha generado $679.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" es "30 de abril" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.