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Política·Trump

¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$683,610 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$683,610 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

31 de marzo

$677,280 Vol.

7%

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30 de abril

$6,330 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict that intensified with large-scale US-Israeli strikes starting February 28, 2026, US forces targeted over 90 military sites on Kharg Island—including air defenses, naval bases, and control towers—around March 14, while explicitly preserving the oil terminal that handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. President Trump has warned of additional strikes on the energy infrastructure unless Tehran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, amid Iranian retaliation via missiles and drones. Recent Pentagon briefings and reports highlight US deliberations on a potential ground assault to seize the island, though military experts cite high risks from mines, drones, and fortifications. No confirmed kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself, with the market resolving March 31 based on events through 11:59 PM ET.

Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict that intensified with large-scale US-Israeli strikes starting February 28, 2026, US forces targeted over 90 military sites on Kharg Island—including air defenses, naval bases, and control towers—around March 14, while explicitly preserving the oil terminal that handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. President Trump has warned of additional strikes on the energy infrastructure unless Tehran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, amid Iranian retaliation via missiles and drones. Recent Pentagon briefings and reports highlight US deliberations on a potential ground assault to seize the island, though military experts cite high risks from mines, drones, and fortifications. No confirmed kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself, with the market resolving March 31 based on events through 11:59 PM ET.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict that intensified with large-scale US-Israeli strikes starting February 28, 2026, US forces targeted over 90 military sites on Kharg Island—including air defenses, naval bases, and control towers—around March 14, while explicitly preserving the oil terminal that handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. President Trump has warned of additional strikes on the energy infrastructure unless Tehran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, amid Iranian retaliation via missiles and drones. Recent Pentagon briefings and reports highlight US deliberations on a potential ground assault to seize the island, though military experts cite high risks from mines, drones, and fortifications. No confirmed kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself, with the market resolving March 31 based on events through 11:59 PM ET.

Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict that intensified with large-scale US-Israeli strikes starting February 28, 2026, US forces targeted over 90 military sites on Kharg Island—including air defenses, naval bases, and control towers—around March 14, while explicitly preserving the oil terminal that handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. President Trump has warned of additional strikes on the energy infrastructure unless Tehran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, amid Iranian retaliation via missiles and drones. Recent Pentagon briefings and reports highlight US deliberations on a potential ground assault to seize the island, though military experts cite high risks from mines, drones, and fortifications. No confirmed kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself, with the market resolving March 31 based on events through 11:59 PM ET.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 31%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" ha generado $683.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" es "30 de abril" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.