Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict that intensified with large-scale US-Israeli strikes starting February 28, 2026, US forces targeted over 90 military sites on Kharg Island—including air defenses, naval bases, and control towers—around March 14, while explicitly preserving the oil terminal that handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. President Trump has warned of additional strikes on the energy infrastructure unless Tehran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, amid Iranian retaliation via missiles and drones. Recent Pentagon briefings and reports highlight US deliberations on a potential ground assault to seize the island, though military experts cite high risks from mines, drones, and fortifications. No confirmed kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself, with the market resolving March 31 based on events through 11:59 PM ET.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$683,610 Vol.

31 de marzo
7%

30 de abril
31%
$683,610 Vol.

31 de marzo
7%

30 de abril
31%
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 28, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict that intensified with large-scale US-Israeli strikes starting February 28, 2026, US forces targeted over 90 military sites on Kharg Island—including air defenses, naval bases, and control towers—around March 14, while explicitly preserving the oil terminal that handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. President Trump has warned of additional strikes on the energy infrastructure unless Tehran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, amid Iranian retaliation via missiles and drones. Recent Pentagon briefings and reports highlight US deliberations on a potential ground assault to seize the island, though military experts cite high risks from mines, drones, and fortifications. No confirmed kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself, with the market resolving March 31 based on events through 11:59 PM ET.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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