$1,411,341 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Arabia Saudita
61%
EAU
40%
Qatar
38%
Any E.U. Country
24%
Reino Unido
19%
Bahréin
19%
Francia
17%
Kuwait
12%
Jordania
11%
Alemania
9%
Omán
6%
Turquía
6%
Canadá
3%
$1,411,341 Vol.
Arabia Saudita
$288,659 Vol.
61%
EAU
$164,858 Vol.
40%
Qatar
$90,450 Vol.
38%
Any E.U. Country
$16,228 Vol.
24%
Reino Unido
$246,176 Vol.
19%
Bahréin
$29,253 Vol.
19%
Francia
$157,450 Vol.
17%
Kuwait
$1,955 Vol.
12%
Jordania
$62,956 Vol.
11%
Alemania
$281,542 Vol.
9%
Omán
$2,978 Vol.
6%
Turquía
$41,882 Vol.
6%
Canadá
$26,954 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,411,341Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Creado en
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions