US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAcción militar hasta el 31 de marzo 100.0%
11 de marzo <1%
12 de marzo <1%
13 de marzo <1%
$3,042,109 Vol.
$3,042,109 Vol.
31 mar 2026
11 de marzo
No
12 de marzo
No
13 de marzo
No
14 de marzo
No
15 de marzo
No
16 de marzo
No
17 de marzo
No
18 de marzo
No
19 de marzo
No
20 de marzo
No
21 de marzo
No
22 de marzo
No
23 de marzo
No
24 de marzo
No
25 de marzo
No
26 de marzo
No
27 de marzo
No
28 de marzo
No
29 de marzo
No
30 de marzo
No
31 de marzo
No
Acción militar hasta el 31 de marzo
Sí
Acción militar hasta el 31 de marzo 100.0%
11 de marzo <1%
12 de marzo <1%
13 de marzo <1%
$3,042,109 Vol.
$3,042,109 Vol.
31 mar 2026
11 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
12 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
13 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
14 de marzo
$132,620 Vol.
No
15 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
16 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
17 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
18 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
19 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
20 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
21 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
22 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
23 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
24 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
25 de marzo
$0 Vol.
No
26 de marzo
$326,382 Vol.
No
27 de marzo
$340,372 Vol.
No
28 de marzo
$348,513 Vol.
No
29 de marzo
$337,518 Vol.
No
30 de marzo
$317,133 Vol.
No
31 de marzo
$446,292 Vol.
No
Acción militar hasta el 31 de marzo
$793,280 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$3,042,109Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,042,109Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes