Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over Tehran’s insistence on preserving its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT, despite repeated US demands for a permanent halt or multi-year moratorium plus transfer of its highly enriched stockpile. Iranian officials have offered only temporary pauses of three to fifteen years or dilution options in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting facility dismantlement and full stockpile handover. As of early June 2026, talks are deadlocked on sequencing, asset releases, and core enrichment limits, with no verified commitment to end activities by year-end. This persistent gap between positions underpins trader consensus that an agreement meeting the market’s strict criteria is unlikely before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$476,296 Vol.
$476,296 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$476,296 Vol.
$476,296 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over Tehran’s insistence on preserving its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT, despite repeated US demands for a permanent halt or multi-year moratorium plus transfer of its highly enriched stockpile. Iranian officials have offered only temporary pauses of three to fifteen years or dilution options in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting facility dismantlement and full stockpile handover. As of early June 2026, talks are deadlocked on sequencing, asset releases, and core enrichment limits, with no verified commitment to end activities by year-end. This persistent gap between positions underpins trader consensus that an agreement meeting the market’s strict criteria is unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volumen
$476,296Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over Tehran’s insistence on preserving its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT, despite repeated US demands for a permanent halt or multi-year moratorium plus transfer of its highly enriched stockpile. Iranian officials have offered only temporary pauses of three to fifteen years or dilution options in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting facility dismantlement and full stockpile handover. As of early June 2026, talks are deadlocked on sequencing, asset releases, and core enrichment limits, with no verified commitment to end activities by year-end. This persistent gap between positions underpins trader consensus that an agreement meeting the market’s strict criteria is unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$476,296Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over Tehran’s insistence on preserving its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT, despite repeated US demands for a permanent halt or multi-year moratorium plus transfer of its highly enriched stockpile. Iranian officials have offered only temporary pauses of three to fifteen years or dilution options in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting facility dismantlement and full stockpile handover. As of early June 2026, talks are deadlocked on sequencing, asset releases, and core enrichment limits, with no verified commitment to end activities by year-end. This persistent gap between positions underpins trader consensus that an agreement meeting the market’s strict criteria is unlikely before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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