Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 amid stalled indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations mediated by Oman and Pakistan. February Geneva talks yielded mediator claims of Iran accepting zero enriched uranium stockpiling and IAEA verification, but broke down over US demands for permanent zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Natanz and Fordow, and uranium handover—terms Iran rejects in favor of reduced levels and sanctions relief. Escalating US-Israeli airstrikes damaged key sites, including a March 24 projectile at Bushehr and repeated Natanz hits, with Netanyahu stating March 19 that Iran lacks enrichment capacity. A March 25 US 15-point peace plan reiterating zero enrichment saw no Tehran acceptance, as officials deny talks, underscoring slim diplomatic prospects before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$136,993 Vol.
$136,993 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Sí
$136,993 Vol.
$136,993 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 amid stalled indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations mediated by Oman and Pakistan. February Geneva talks yielded mediator claims of Iran accepting zero enriched uranium stockpiling and IAEA verification, but broke down over US demands for permanent zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Natanz and Fordow, and uranium handover—terms Iran rejects in favor of reduced levels and sanctions relief. Escalating US-Israeli airstrikes damaged key sites, including a March 24 projectile at Bushehr and repeated Natanz hits, with Netanyahu stating March 19 that Iran lacks enrichment capacity. A March 25 US 15-point peace plan reiterating zero enrichment saw no Tehran acceptance, as officials deny talks, underscoring slim diplomatic prospects before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$136,993Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 amid stalled indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations mediated by Oman and Pakistan. February Geneva talks yielded mediator claims of Iran accepting zero enriched uranium stockpiling and IAEA verification, but broke down over US demands for permanent zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Natanz and Fordow, and uranium handover—terms Iran rejects in favor of reduced levels and sanctions relief. Escalating US-Israeli airstrikes damaged key sites, including a March 24 projectile at Bushehr and repeated Natanz hits, with Netanyahu stating March 19 that Iran lacks enrichment capacity. A March 25 US 15-point peace plan reiterating zero enrichment saw no Tehran acceptance, as officials deny talks, underscoring slim diplomatic prospects before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$136,993Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 amid stalled indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations mediated by Oman and Pakistan. February Geneva talks yielded mediator claims of Iran accepting zero enriched uranium stockpiling and IAEA verification, but broke down over US demands for permanent zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Natanz and Fordow, and uranium handover—terms Iran rejects in favor of reduced levels and sanctions relief. Escalating US-Israeli airstrikes damaged key sites, including a March 24 projectile at Bushehr and repeated Natanz hits, with Netanyahu stating March 19 that Iran lacks enrichment capacity. A March 25 US 15-point peace plan reiterating zero enrichment saw no Tehran acceptance, as officials deny talks, underscoring slim diplomatic prospects before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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