Recent diplomatic progress, including a U.S.-Iran framework memorandum scheduled for signing on June 19 that launches 60-day talks on nuclear issues, has lifted the implied probability of Iran publicly agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 to near even odds. Core gaps persist, however, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while Washington seeks strict limits or suspension on levels, stockpiles, centrifuges, and verification. Iranian officials have rejected outright curbs in prior rounds, and the compressed timeline leaves little room to bridge differences before the deadline. Further positive signals from mediators or concessions on inspections could strengthen yes-side momentum, whereas renewed Iranian insistence on enrichment rights or delays in follow-on negotiations would likely favor no. Trader consensus reflects this narrow window amid active but unresolved diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$4,321,727 Vol.
$4,321,727 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$4,321,727 Vol.
$4,321,727 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent diplomatic progress, including a U.S.-Iran framework memorandum scheduled for signing on June 19 that launches 60-day talks on nuclear issues, has lifted the implied probability of Iran publicly agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 to near even odds. Core gaps persist, however, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while Washington seeks strict limits or suspension on levels, stockpiles, centrifuges, and verification. Iranian officials have rejected outright curbs in prior rounds, and the compressed timeline leaves little room to bridge differences before the deadline. Further positive signals from mediators or concessions on inspections could strengthen yes-side momentum, whereas renewed Iranian insistence on enrichment rights or delays in follow-on negotiations would likely favor no. Trader consensus reflects this narrow window amid active but unresolved diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$4,321,727Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent diplomatic progress, including a U.S.-Iran framework memorandum scheduled for signing on June 19 that launches 60-day talks on nuclear issues, has lifted the implied probability of Iran publicly agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 to near even odds. Core gaps persist, however, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while Washington seeks strict limits or suspension on levels, stockpiles, centrifuges, and verification. Iranian officials have rejected outright curbs in prior rounds, and the compressed timeline leaves little room to bridge differences before the deadline. Further positive signals from mediators or concessions on inspections could strengthen yes-side momentum, whereas renewed Iranian insistence on enrichment rights or delays in follow-on negotiations would likely favor no. Trader consensus reflects this narrow window amid active but unresolved diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,322,086Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic progress, including a U.S.-Iran framework memorandum scheduled for signing on June 19 that launches 60-day talks on nuclear issues, has lifted the implied probability of Iran publicly agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30 to near even odds. Core gaps persist, however, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrichment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty while Washington seeks strict limits or suspension on levels, stockpiles, centrifuges, and verification. Iranian officials have rejected outright curbs in prior rounds, and the compressed timeline leaves little room to bridge differences before the deadline. Further positive signals from mediators or concessions on inspections could strengthen yes-side momentum, whereas renewed Iranian insistence on enrichment rights or delays in follow-on negotiations would likely favor no. Trader consensus reflects this narrow window amid active but unresolved diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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