US presentation of a 15-point proposal to Iran on March 25, demanding full dismantlement of its nuclear program, cessation of uranium enrichment, and handover of enriched material, underscores trader consensus pricing "No" at 72%, reflecting low expectations for agreement by June 30. Recent US-Israeli airstrikes, including on Natanz on March 2, have damaged facilities, prompting IAEA reports of denied inspector access to affected sites and underground storage of highly enriched uranium at Isfahan. Iran's Supreme Leader has rejected zero-enrichment demands, while earlier February indirect talks mediated by Oman yielded only limited stockpiling concessions before escalations intensified. Upcoming IAEA board sessions and potential further diplomacy remain uncertain amid hardened positions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$137,795 Vol.
$137,795 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Sí
$137,795 Vol.
$137,795 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US presentation of a 15-point proposal to Iran on March 25, demanding full dismantlement of its nuclear program, cessation of uranium enrichment, and handover of enriched material, underscores trader consensus pricing "No" at 72%, reflecting low expectations for agreement by June 30. Recent US-Israeli airstrikes, including on Natanz on March 2, have damaged facilities, prompting IAEA reports of denied inspector access to affected sites and underground storage of highly enriched uranium at Isfahan. Iran's Supreme Leader has rejected zero-enrichment demands, while earlier February indirect talks mediated by Oman yielded only limited stockpiling concessions before escalations intensified. Upcoming IAEA board sessions and potential further diplomacy remain uncertain amid hardened positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$137,795Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US presentation of a 15-point proposal to Iran on March 25, demanding full dismantlement of its nuclear program, cessation of uranium enrichment, and handover of enriched material, underscores trader consensus pricing "No" at 72%, reflecting low expectations for agreement by June 30. Recent US-Israeli airstrikes, including on Natanz on March 2, have damaged facilities, prompting IAEA reports of denied inspector access to affected sites and underground storage of highly enriched uranium at Isfahan. Iran's Supreme Leader has rejected zero-enrichment demands, while earlier February indirect talks mediated by Oman yielded only limited stockpiling concessions before escalations intensified. Upcoming IAEA board sessions and potential further diplomacy remain uncertain amid hardened positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$137,795Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US presentation of a 15-point proposal to Iran on March 25, demanding full dismantlement of its nuclear program, cessation of uranium enrichment, and handover of enriched material, underscores trader consensus pricing "No" at 72%, reflecting low expectations for agreement by June 30. Recent US-Israeli airstrikes, including on Natanz on March 2, have damaged facilities, prompting IAEA reports of denied inspector access to affected sites and underground storage of highly enriched uranium at Isfahan. Iran's Supreme Leader has rejected zero-enrichment demands, while earlier February indirect talks mediated by Oman yielded only limited stockpiling concessions before escalations intensified. Upcoming IAEA board sessions and potential further diplomacy remain uncertain amid hardened positions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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