Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have produced a late-May ceasefire extension for 60 days but yielded no breakthrough on core nuclear issues such as uranium enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, facility oversight, and sanctions relief. Indirect talks since February have shown minimal progress into early June, with officials from both sides reporting persistent gaps and no high-level meetings scheduled before the June 30 deadline. These unresolved procedural and substantive barriers align with trader consensus reflected in the 76 percent probability assigned to no agreement by that date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
Sí
$5,786,999 Vol.
$5,786,999 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$5,786,999 Vol.
$5,786,999 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have produced a late-May ceasefire extension for 60 days but yielded no breakthrough on core nuclear issues such as uranium enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, facility oversight, and sanctions relief. Indirect talks since February have shown minimal progress into early June, with officials from both sides reporting persistent gaps and no high-level meetings scheduled before the June 30 deadline. These unresolved procedural and substantive barriers align with trader consensus reflected in the 76 percent probability assigned to no agreement by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$5,786,999Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have produced a late-May ceasefire extension for 60 days but yielded no breakthrough on core nuclear issues such as uranium enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, facility oversight, and sanctions relief. Indirect talks since February have shown minimal progress into early June, with officials from both sides reporting persistent gaps and no high-level meetings scheduled before the June 30 deadline. These unresolved procedural and substantive barriers align with trader consensus reflected in the 76 percent probability assigned to no agreement by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$5,790,276Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have produced a late-May ceasefire extension for 60 days but yielded no breakthrough on core nuclear issues such as uranium enrichment limits, stockpile disposal, facility oversight, and sanctions relief. Indirect talks since February have shown minimal progress into early June, with officials from both sides reporting persistent gaps and no high-level meetings scheduled before the June 30 deadline. These unresolved procedural and substantive barriers align with trader consensus reflected in the 76 percent probability assigned to no agreement by that date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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