US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water complex and Ardakan uranium processing plant on March 28, have intensified tensions amid a month-long war triggered by February attacks killing Supreme Leader Khamenei, stalling any path to a nuclear deal by April 30. Earlier indirect talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough, as Iran's proposals for limited enrichment clashed with U.S. demands for zero enrichment and facility dismantlement. Current indirect ceasefire negotiations via Pakistan focus on a U.S. 15-point plan covering missiles, proxies, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with Trump extending a strike deadline to April 6; Iranian rejections and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus at 87% "No," viewing comprehensive nuclear limits as improbable amid escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de abril?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de abril?
Sí
$114,564 Vol.
$114,564 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Sí
$114,564 Vol.
$114,564 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water complex and Ardakan uranium processing plant on March 28, have intensified tensions amid a month-long war triggered by February attacks killing Supreme Leader Khamenei, stalling any path to a nuclear deal by April 30. Earlier indirect talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough, as Iran's proposals for limited enrichment clashed with U.S. demands for zero enrichment and facility dismantlement. Current indirect ceasefire negotiations via Pakistan focus on a U.S. 15-point plan covering missiles, proxies, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with Trump extending a strike deadline to April 6; Iranian rejections and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus at 87% "No," viewing comprehensive nuclear limits as improbable amid escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$114,564Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water complex and Ardakan uranium processing plant on March 28, have intensified tensions amid a month-long war triggered by February attacks killing Supreme Leader Khamenei, stalling any path to a nuclear deal by April 30. Earlier indirect talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough, as Iran's proposals for limited enrichment clashed with U.S. demands for zero enrichment and facility dismantlement. Current indirect ceasefire negotiations via Pakistan focus on a U.S. 15-point plan covering missiles, proxies, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with Trump extending a strike deadline to April 6; Iranian rejections and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus at 87% "No," viewing comprehensive nuclear limits as improbable amid escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$114,564Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Khondab heavy water complex and Ardakan uranium processing plant on March 28, have intensified tensions amid a month-long war triggered by February attacks killing Supreme Leader Khamenei, stalling any path to a nuclear deal by April 30. Earlier indirect talks in Geneva ended without breakthrough, as Iran's proposals for limited enrichment clashed with U.S. demands for zero enrichment and facility dismantlement. Current indirect ceasefire negotiations via Pakistan focus on a U.S. 15-point plan covering missiles, proxies, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with Trump extending a strike deadline to April 6; Iranian rejections and ongoing military actions reflect trader consensus at 87% "No," viewing comprehensive nuclear limits as improbable amid escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes