Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel—set in December 2025—by April 30, driven by current spot levels hovering near $99/bbl despite a recent 6% rally fueled by Iran conflict escalation and Strait of Hormuz disruption fears. Countervailing forces include OPEC+'s planned 206,000 barrels per day output increase starting this month, a surprise 5.5 million barrel build in U.S. crude inventories for the week ended March 27, and downward revisions to 2026 global demand growth amid subdued Chinese consumption. Key catalysts ahead: weekly EIA inventory reports and any Middle East de-escalation signals, though parabolic surge barriers remain formidable absent supply shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCrude Oil all time high by April 30?
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
$24,849 Vol.
$24,849 Vol.
$24,849 Vol.
$24,849 Vol.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel—set in December 2025—by April 30, driven by current spot levels hovering near $99/bbl despite a recent 6% rally fueled by Iran conflict escalation and Strait of Hormuz disruption fears. Countervailing forces include OPEC+'s planned 206,000 barrels per day output increase starting this month, a surprise 5.5 million barrel build in U.S. crude inventories for the week ended March 27, and downward revisions to 2026 global demand growth amid subdued Chinese consumption. Key catalysts ahead: weekly EIA inventory reports and any Middle East de-escalation signals, though parabolic surge barriers remain formidable absent supply shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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