Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices WTI crude oil in the $60-$70 per barrel range for April 2026, with peak implied probabilities around $65, reflecting a projected global supply surplus as U.S. production hits records above 13.5 million bpd and non-OPEC output from Brazil and Guyana surges, offsetting OPEC+'s extended voluntary cuts through Q1 2025. Softening demand growth—revised down to 1.0 mbpd in 2026 by EIA—stems from China's economic slowdown and EV adoption, per recent STEO forecasts averaging $66/bbl. Upside risks include Middle East tensions; downside from recession. Key catalysts: OPEC+ December 5 meeting and EIA storage reports.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado↑ $150
51%
↑ $140
53%
↑ $130
52%
↑ $120
59%
↑ $110
65%
↑ $100
51%
↑ $90
51%
↓ $80
78%
↓ $70
94%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $40
49%
↓ $30
49%
↓ $20
1%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $150
51%
↑ $140
53%
↑ $130
52%
↑ $120
59%
↑ $110
65%
↑ $100
51%
↑ $90
51%
↓ $80
78%
↓ $70
94%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $40
49%
↓ $30
49%
↓ $20
1%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.WTIM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices WTI crude oil in the $60-$70 per barrel range for April 2026, with peak implied probabilities around $65, reflecting a projected global supply surplus as U.S. production hits records above 13.5 million bpd and non-OPEC output from Brazil and Guyana surges, offsetting OPEC+'s extended voluntary cuts through Q1 2025. Softening demand growth—revised down to 1.0 mbpd in 2026 by EIA—stems from China's economic slowdown and EV adoption, per recent STEO forecasts averaging $66/bbl. Upside risks include Middle East tensions; downside from recession. Key catalysts: OPEC+ December 5 meeting and EIA storage reports.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes