Trader sentiment for WTI crude oil (CL) ending March above key thresholds hinges on persistent supply constraints outweighing demand uncertainties. Ukrainian drone attacks have knocked out over 10% of Russian refining capacity in recent weeks, tightening global diesel markets and lifting prices, while last week's EIA report showed a surprise 3.2 million-barrel draw in US crude inventories—well below API estimates. Red Sea disruptions from Houthi strikes continue inflating shipping costs by 40% on key routes. With CL futures near $81.50 amid a stronger dollar pressuring exports, traders monitor Thursday's EIA storage data, rig count releases, and OPEC+ compliance signals as potential catalysts before quarter-end settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?
¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
$84
76%
$80
97%
$76
95%
$72
98%
$68
95%
$64
99%
$60
99%
$56
99%
$52
100%
$48
100%
$9,312 Vol.
$84
$1,295 Vol.
76%
$80
$1,578 Vol.
97%
$76
$380 Vol.
95%
$72
$0 Vol.
98%
$68
$1,264 Vol.
95%
$64
$1,577 Vol.
99%
$60
$0 Vol.
99%
$56
$0 Vol.
99%
$52
$1,587 Vol.
100%
$48
$1,630 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader sentiment for WTI crude oil (CL) ending March above key thresholds hinges on persistent supply constraints outweighing demand uncertainties. Ukrainian drone attacks have knocked out over 10% of Russian refining capacity in recent weeks, tightening global diesel markets and lifting prices, while last week's EIA report showed a surprise 3.2 million-barrel draw in US crude inventories—well below API estimates. Red Sea disruptions from Houthi strikes continue inflating shipping costs by 40% on key routes. With CL futures near $81.50 amid a stronger dollar pressuring exports, traders monitor Thursday's EIA storage data, rig count releases, and OPEC+ compliance signals as potential catalysts before quarter-end settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Volumen
$9,312Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader sentiment for WTI crude oil (CL) ending March above key thresholds hinges on persistent supply constraints outweighing demand uncertainties. Ukrainian drone attacks have knocked out over 10% of Russian refining capacity in recent weeks, tightening global diesel markets and lifting prices, while last week's EIA report showed a surprise 3.2 million-barrel draw in US crude inventories—well below API estimates. Red Sea disruptions from Houthi strikes continue inflating shipping costs by 40% on key routes. With CL futures near $81.50 amid a stronger dollar pressuring exports, traders monitor Thursday's EIA storage data, rig count releases, and OPEC+ compliance signals as potential catalysts before quarter-end settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$9,312Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for WTI crude oil (CL) ending March above key thresholds hinges on persistent supply constraints outweighing demand uncertainties. Ukrainian drone attacks have knocked out over 10% of Russian refining capacity in recent weeks, tightening global diesel markets and lifting prices, while last week's EIA report showed a surprise 3.2 million-barrel draw in US crude inventories—well below API estimates. Red Sea disruptions from Houthi strikes continue inflating shipping costs by 40% on key routes. With CL futures near $81.50 amid a stronger dollar pressuring exports, traders monitor Thursday's EIA storage data, rig count releases, and OPEC+ compliance signals as potential catalysts before quarter-end settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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