WTI crude oil futures have plunged over 7% this week to around $96 per barrel for the June 2026 contract, primarily driven by de-escalation in the Middle East—including a holding ceasefire and US-Iran peace talks—eroding the geopolitical risk premium tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The latest EIA report for the week ending May 1 showed a smaller-than-expected crude inventory draw of 2.31 million barrels versus forecasts of 3.4 million, signaling softer demand signals amid high US production. OPEC+ began a modest 206,000 barrels per day output increase in May, adding supply pressure. Traders eye upcoming weekly EIA petroleum status reports starting May 13 and the ramp-up in summer driving season demand as key catalysts that could stabilize or lift prices toward end-June settlement, with EIA forecasting a Brent peak near $115 in Q2 before easing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$118,823 Vol.
$90
49%
$85
63%
$80
73%
$75
73%
$70
84%
$65
90%
$63
93%
$60
93%
$56
95%
$55
98%
$52
96%
$50
99%
$118,823 Vol.
$90
49%
$85
63%
$80
73%
$75
73%
$70
84%
$65
90%
$63
93%
$60
93%
$56
95%
$55
98%
$52
96%
$50
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have plunged over 7% this week to around $96 per barrel for the June 2026 contract, primarily driven by de-escalation in the Middle East—including a holding ceasefire and US-Iran peace talks—eroding the geopolitical risk premium tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The latest EIA report for the week ending May 1 showed a smaller-than-expected crude inventory draw of 2.31 million barrels versus forecasts of 3.4 million, signaling softer demand signals amid high US production. OPEC+ began a modest 206,000 barrels per day output increase in May, adding supply pressure. Traders eye upcoming weekly EIA petroleum status reports starting May 13 and the ramp-up in summer driving season demand as key catalysts that could stabilize or lift prices toward end-June settlement, with EIA forecasting a Brent peak near $115 in Q2 before easing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes