Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver's June SI futures settlement shows a fragmented field, with the highest implied probability at 22.5% for below $50, reflecting base-case expectations of price stability around current levels near $30 per ounce amid persistent high US interest rates and a firm dollar. Key drivers include anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts—traders eye June FOMC signals and upcoming CPI data for dovish pivots that could lift precious metals 10-20%—versus downside risks from softening Chinese industrial demand and ample mine supply. Upside tails like >$115 (12.5%) hinge on extreme safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical escalation or inflation surprises, while mid-ranges differentiate on solar/EV demand growth versus recession fears, underscoring silver's dual role as industrial and monetary asset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará Silver (SI) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará Silver (SI) en junio?
<$50 23%
>$115 13%
$50-$60 11.4%
$60-$70 11.2%
$414,414 Vol.
$414,414 Vol.
<$50
23%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
11%
$70-$80
10%
$80-$90
8%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
9%
>$115
13%
<$50 23%
>$115 13%
$50-$60 11.4%
$60-$70 11.2%
$414,414 Vol.
$414,414 Vol.
<$50
23%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
11%
$70-$80
10%
$80-$90
8%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
9%
>$115
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver's June SI futures settlement shows a fragmented field, with the highest implied probability at 22.5% for below $50, reflecting base-case expectations of price stability around current levels near $30 per ounce amid persistent high US interest rates and a firm dollar. Key drivers include anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts—traders eye June FOMC signals and upcoming CPI data for dovish pivots that could lift precious metals 10-20%—versus downside risks from softening Chinese industrial demand and ample mine supply. Upside tails like >$115 (12.5%) hinge on extreme safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical escalation or inflation surprises, while mid-ranges differentiate on solar/EV demand growth versus recession fears, underscoring silver's dual role as industrial and monetary asset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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