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icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?

icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?

$12,837 Vol.

31 jul 2026
Polymarket

$12,837 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$645 Vol.

No

↑ $4.50

$1,194 Vol.

No

↑ $4.25

$3,267 Vol.

No

↑ $4.00

$411 Vol.

↑ $3.90

$811 Vol.

↓ $3.70

$701 Vol.

No

↓ $3.60

$657 Vol.

No

↓ $3.50

$2,291 Vol.

No

↓ $3.25

$686 Vol.

No

↓ $3.00

$1,110 Vol.

No

↓ $2.50

$1,063 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures for July 2026 closed near $3.23/MMBtu amid abundant supplies, with U.S. working gas inventories ending June 6% above the five-year average and production reaching record levels near 111 Bcf/d. Elevated storage, mild summer weather curbing power-sector demand, and steady LNG export flows around 18 Bcf/d capped upside despite rising consumption from data centers and industry, keeping Henry Hub prices in a $3.20–$3.50 range with technical resistance near $3.40. EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects a 2026 average near $3.60/MMBtu, reflecting a well-supplied balance that has weighed on near-term sentiment. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA storage reports and any shifts in heat-driven demand or production disruptions that could alter the inventory surplus heading into fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$12,837
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures for July 2026 closed near $3.23/MMBtu amid abundant supplies, with U.S. working gas inventories ending June 6% above the five-year average and production reaching record levels near 111 Bcf/d. Elevated storage, mild summer weather curbing power-sector demand, and steady LNG export flows around 18 Bcf/d capped upside despite rising consumption from data centers and industry, keeping Henry Hub prices in a $3.20–$3.50 range with technical resistance near $3.40. EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects a 2026 average near $3.60/MMBtu, reflecting a well-supplied balance that has weighed on near-term sentiment. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA storage reports and any shifts in heat-driven demand or production disruptions that could alter the inventory surplus heading into fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$12,837
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.00" con 100%, seguido de "↑ $3.90" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?" ha generado $12.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?" es "↑ $4.00" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $3.90" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de julio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.