Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, imply a trader consensus for gold (GC) June settlement clustering around $4,200-$4,600 (18.6%) and adjacent ranges, with <$3,800 (16.1%) and $4,600-$5,000 (16.0%) in tight contention amid balanced upside risks. Recent drivers include gold's rally to all-time highs near $2,790 last month on the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut and US election uncertainty fueling safe-haven flows, offset by a USD rebound and rising 10-year Treasury yields following robust October jobs data. Central bank purchases, particularly from China, sustain bullish momentum, but competitive dynamics hinge on November CPI inflation print and December FOMC guidance, with real yields as a key swing factor potentially capping or accelerating the contango futures curve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$4,200-$4,600 18.5%
<$3,800 16.1%
$4,600-$5,000 16%
$3,800-$4,200 15.8%
$835,924 Vol.
$835,924 Vol.
<$3,800
16%
$3,800-$4,200
16%
$4,200-$4,600
19%
$4,600-$5,000
16%
$5,000-$5,400
13%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6,200
7%
$4,200-$4,600 18.5%
<$3,800 16.1%
$4,600-$5,000 16%
$3,800-$4,200 15.8%
$835,924 Vol.
$835,924 Vol.
<$3,800
16%
$3,800-$4,200
16%
$4,200-$4,600
19%
$4,600-$5,000
16%
$5,000-$5,400
13%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6,200
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, imply a trader consensus for gold (GC) June settlement clustering around $4,200-$4,600 (18.6%) and adjacent ranges, with <$3,800 (16.1%) and $4,600-$5,000 (16.0%) in tight contention amid balanced upside risks. Recent drivers include gold's rally to all-time highs near $2,790 last month on the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut and US election uncertainty fueling safe-haven flows, offset by a USD rebound and rising 10-year Treasury yields following robust October jobs data. Central bank purchases, particularly from China, sustain bullish momentum, but competitive dynamics hinge on November CPI inflation print and December FOMC guidance, with real yields as a key swing factor potentially capping or accelerating the contango futures curve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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