Recent macroeconomic data have anchored gold futures near current levels around $4,300–$4,360, positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the clear market favorite with 61% implied probability. Hotter-than-expected May CPI at 4.2%, fueled by energy spikes tied to Iran-related tensions, combined with robust May payrolls, prompted traders to price out near-term Fed easing and pushed real yields higher, triggering a sharp correction from January peaks above $5,500. Central bank accumulation continues to offer structural support, while elevated volatility from geopolitical developments and USD movements keeps shorter-term swings contained within the leading bracket ahead of month-end settlement. Upcoming inflation releases and any diplomatic progress on Middle East conflicts represent the key swing factors that could shift probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$4,200-$4,600 61.1%
$3,800-$4,200 26.0%
$4,600-$5,000 12.9%
<$3,800 1.1%
$1,067,940 Vol.
$1,067,940 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
26%
$4,200-$4,600
61%
$4,600-$5,000
13%
$5,000-$5,400
1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5,800-$6,200
<1%
>$6,200
<1%
$4,200-$4,600 61.1%
$3,800-$4,200 26.0%
$4,600-$5,000 12.9%
<$3,800 1.1%
$1,067,940 Vol.
$1,067,940 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<$3,800
$247,132 Vol.
1%
$3,800-$4,200
$72,121 Vol.
26%
$4,200-$4,600
$66,710 Vol.
61%
$4,600-$5,000
$64,124 Vol.
13%
$5,000-$5,400
$80,393 Vol.
1%
$5,400-$5,800
$67,993 Vol.
1%
$5,800-$6,200
$255,805 Vol.
<1%
>$6,200
$213,660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent macroeconomic data have anchored gold futures near current levels around $4,300–$4,360, positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the clear market favorite with 61% implied probability. Hotter-than-expected May CPI at 4.2%, fueled by energy spikes tied to Iran-related tensions, combined with robust May payrolls, prompted traders to price out near-term Fed easing and pushed real yields higher, triggering a sharp correction from January peaks above $5,500. Central bank accumulation continues to offer structural support, while elevated volatility from geopolitical developments and USD movements keeps shorter-term swings contained within the leading bracket ahead of month-end settlement. Upcoming inflation releases and any diplomatic progress on Middle East conflicts represent the key swing factors that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$1,067,940Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent macroeconomic data have anchored gold futures near current levels around $4,300–$4,360, positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the clear market favorite with 61% implied probability. Hotter-than-expected May CPI at 4.2%, fueled by energy spikes tied to Iran-related tensions, combined with robust May payrolls, prompted traders to price out near-term Fed easing and pushed real yields higher, triggering a sharp correction from January peaks above $5,500. Central bank accumulation continues to offer structural support, while elevated volatility from geopolitical developments and USD movements keeps shorter-term swings contained within the leading bracket ahead of month-end settlement. Upcoming inflation releases and any diplomatic progress on Middle East conflicts represent the key swing factors that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$1,067,940Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent macroeconomic data have anchored gold futures near current levels around $4,300–$4,360, positioning the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the clear market favorite with 61% implied probability. Hotter-than-expected May CPI at 4.2%, fueled by energy spikes tied to Iran-related tensions, combined with robust May payrolls, prompted traders to price out near-term Fed easing and pushed real yields higher, triggering a sharp correction from January peaks above $5,500. Central bank accumulation continues to offer structural support, while elevated volatility from geopolitical developments and USD movements keeps shorter-term swings contained within the leading bracket ahead of month-end settlement. Upcoming inflation releases and any diplomatic progress on Middle East conflicts represent the key swing factors that could shift probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes