Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting consensus around tightening supply amid robust US summer driving demand. Key catalysts include last week's EIA report showing a 1.2 million barrel crude drawdown—far exceeding expectations of a 2.1 million build—alongside steep gasoline inventory declines signaling peak-season tightness. Geopolitical risk premiums persist from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries and Red Sea disruptions, while OPEC+ adherence to production cuts limits upside supply response. Countervailing weak Chinese factory data caps gains, supporting 11% odds for $77-$84. Watch Wednesday's EIA inventories and June 2 OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
>$84 59%
$77-$84 13%
$63-$70 9%
$70-$77 8.6%
$87,514 Vol.
$87,514 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
< $42
2%
$42-$49
4%
$49-$56
9%
$56-$63
7%
$63-$70
9%
$70-$77
9%
$77-$84
13%
>$84
59%
>$84 59%
$77-$84 13%
$63-$70 9%
$70-$77 8.6%
$87,514 Vol.
$87,514 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
< $42
$3,752 Vol.
2%
$42-$49
$3,088 Vol.
4%
$49-$56
$4,297 Vol.
9%
$56-$63
$3,627 Vol.
7%
$63-$70
$16,028 Vol.
9%
$70-$77
$4,403 Vol.
9%
$77-$84
$7,222 Vol.
13%
>$84
$45,098 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting consensus around tightening supply amid robust US summer driving demand. Key catalysts include last week's EIA report showing a 1.2 million barrel crude drawdown—far exceeding expectations of a 2.1 million build—alongside steep gasoline inventory declines signaling peak-season tightness. Geopolitical risk premiums persist from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries and Red Sea disruptions, while OPEC+ adherence to production cuts limits upside supply response. Countervailing weak Chinese factory data caps gains, supporting 11% odds for $77-$84. Watch Wednesday's EIA inventories and June 2 OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$87,514Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting consensus around tightening supply amid robust US summer driving demand. Key catalysts include last week's EIA report showing a 1.2 million barrel crude drawdown—far exceeding expectations of a 2.1 million build—alongside steep gasoline inventory declines signaling peak-season tightness. Geopolitical risk premiums persist from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries and Red Sea disruptions, while OPEC+ adherence to production cuts limits upside supply response. Countervailing weak Chinese factory data caps gains, supporting 11% odds for $77-$84. Watch Wednesday's EIA inventories and June 2 OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$87,514Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket price a 59% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting consensus around tightening supply amid robust US summer driving demand. Key catalysts include last week's EIA report showing a 1.2 million barrel crude drawdown—far exceeding expectations of a 2.1 million build—alongside steep gasoline inventory declines signaling peak-season tightness. Geopolitical risk premiums persist from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries and Red Sea disruptions, while OPEC+ adherence to production cuts limits upside supply response. Countervailing weak Chinese factory data caps gains, supporting 11% odds for $77-$84. Watch Wednesday's EIA inventories and June 2 OPEC+ meeting for volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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