Recent sharp declines in WTI crude futures, trading near $77 per barrel on June 16 amid reports of progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing U.S.-Iran tensions, anchor trader sentiment for the June CL settlement. Heightened volatility stems from sustained supply disruptions that have drawn down global inventories, offset by expectations that any ceasefire could quickly restore flows and pressure prices lower. With the two leading outcomes—$70–77 at 29.7% and $77–84 at 30.0%—nearly tied, markets price in balanced risks around the resolution of geopolitical negotiations versus persistent inventory tightness. Key near-term catalysts include final diplomatic developments and weekly EIA inventory data that could shift the narrow trading range before month-end settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
$70-$77 29.7%
$77-$84 29%
>$84 16%
$63-$70 13.0%
$242,111 Vol.
$242,111 Vol.
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
13%
$70-$77
30%
$77-$84
29%
>$84
16%
$70-$77 29.7%
$77-$84 29%
>$84 16%
$63-$70 13.0%
$242,111 Vol.
$242,111 Vol.
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
13%
$70-$77
30%
$77-$84
29%
>$84
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent sharp declines in WTI crude futures, trading near $77 per barrel on June 16 amid reports of progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing U.S.-Iran tensions, anchor trader sentiment for the June CL settlement. Heightened volatility stems from sustained supply disruptions that have drawn down global inventories, offset by expectations that any ceasefire could quickly restore flows and pressure prices lower. With the two leading outcomes—$70–77 at 29.7% and $77–84 at 30.0%—nearly tied, markets price in balanced risks around the resolution of geopolitical negotiations versus persistent inventory tightness. Key near-term catalysts include final diplomatic developments and weekly EIA inventory data that could shift the narrow trading range before month-end settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes