Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices into late May 2026, with Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day tightening balances and supporting elevated levels near $90–$100 per barrel. The EIA projects an 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter, keeping prices firm through June before potential normalization later in the year. Softer 2026 global demand growth forecasts, revised lower by OPEC due to high prices and trade flow impacts, alongside upcoming weekly EIA inventory releases and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, introduce downside risks if diplomatic progress accelerates reopening of key shipping lanes. Trader sentiment reflects these competing supply and demand forces.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿El petróleo crudo (CL) llegará a__ a finales de junio?
$19,609,006 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
16%
↑ $115
21%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
37%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
68%
↓ $80
57%
↓ $70
16%
↓ $60
9%
↓ $55
4%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$19,609,006 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
16%
↑ $115
21%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
37%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
68%
↓ $80
57%
↓ $70
16%
↓ $60
9%
↓ $55
4%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices into late May 2026, with Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day tightening balances and supporting elevated levels near $90–$100 per barrel. The EIA projects an 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter, keeping prices firm through June before potential normalization later in the year. Softer 2026 global demand growth forecasts, revised lower by OPEC due to high prices and trade flow impacts, alongside upcoming weekly EIA inventory releases and the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, introduce downside risks if diplomatic progress accelerates reopening of key shipping lanes. Trader sentiment reflects these competing supply and demand forces.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes