Gold futures (GC) have surged 12% year-to-date, trading near record highs around $2,165/oz as of March 25, propelled by persistent central bank buying—over 1,037 tonnes in 2023 from nations like China—and dovish Federal Reserve signals amid cooling inflation. February CPI rose 3.2% YoY, softer than expected, lifting market-implied odds of a June rate cut to 70% per CME FedWatch Tool, weakening the US dollar (DXY at 104.2) and real Treasury yields. Geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East further enhance gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders focus on March 29 PCE inflation data and end-March COMEX settlement, with CFTC specs holding record net longs, signaling bullish positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?
¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?
$101,352 Vol.
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
2%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
2%
$5,000
1%
$4,800
16%
$4,600
42%
$4,400
71%
$4,000
96%
$101,352 Vol.
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
2%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
2%
$5,000
1%
$4,800
16%
$4,600
42%
$4,400
71%
$4,000
96%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have surged 12% year-to-date, trading near record highs around $2,165/oz as of March 25, propelled by persistent central bank buying—over 1,037 tonnes in 2023 from nations like China—and dovish Federal Reserve signals amid cooling inflation. February CPI rose 3.2% YoY, softer than expected, lifting market-implied odds of a June rate cut to 70% per CME FedWatch Tool, weakening the US dollar (DXY at 104.2) and real Treasury yields. Geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East further enhance gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders focus on March 29 PCE inflation data and end-March COMEX settlement, with CFTC specs holding record net longs, signaling bullish positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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