Gold futures (GC) trade around $2,660 per ounce, near record highs, reflecting trader consensus on Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation pressures. January PCE inflation rose just 0.3% monthly, below expectations, lifting March rate cut odds to nearly 70% per fed funds futures while 10-year Treasury real yields dipped below 2%. A weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY at 103) and sustained central bank purchases—China added 5 tonnes last week—bolster safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI release and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 25 basis point cut as baseline, potentially pressuring gold if data surprises hotter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?
¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?
$101,695 Vol.
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
1%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
2%
$5,000
1%
$4,800
17%
$4,600
27%
$4,400
57%
$4,000
97%
$101,695 Vol.
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
1%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
2%
$5,000
1%
$4,800
17%
$4,600
27%
$4,400
57%
$4,000
97%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) trade around $2,660 per ounce, near record highs, reflecting trader consensus on Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation pressures. January PCE inflation rose just 0.3% monthly, below expectations, lifting March rate cut odds to nearly 70% per fed funds futures while 10-year Treasury real yields dipped below 2%. A weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY at 103) and sustained central bank purchases—China added 5 tonnes last week—bolster safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI release and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 25 basis point cut as baseline, potentially pressuring gold if data surprises hotter.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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