Houthi forces in Yemen launched a ballistic missile toward central Israel on December 27, intercepted by IDF defenses, marking the latest in a series of attacks tied to solidarity with Gaza amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. Israel previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi-controlled ports and power stations in Sanaa on November 12, retaliating for a missile aimed at Ben Gurion Airport. With Houthis vowing continued operations despite U.S. and allied strikes on their Red Sea capabilities, trader sentiment hinges on Israel's response threshold to further direct threats, potential Iranian backing, and diplomatic de-escalation efforts. No confirmed Israeli action in the past week, but Netanyahu has signaled readiness for escalation if attacks persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Acción militar de Israel contra Yemen por...?
¿Acción militar de Israel contra Yemen por...?
$682,680 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de marzo
12%
30 de abril
38%
30 de junio
59%
31 de mayo
54%
$682,680 Vol.
31 de marzo
$314,897 Vol.
12%
30 de abril
$9,533 Vol.
38%
30 de junio
$330,401 Vol.
59%
31 de mayo
$27,848 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces in Yemen launched a ballistic missile toward central Israel on December 27, intercepted by IDF defenses, marking the latest in a series of attacks tied to solidarity with Gaza amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. Israel previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi-controlled ports and power stations in Sanaa on November 12, retaliating for a missile aimed at Ben Gurion Airport. With Houthis vowing continued operations despite U.S. and allied strikes on their Red Sea capabilities, trader sentiment hinges on Israel's response threshold to further direct threats, potential Iranian backing, and diplomatic de-escalation efforts. No confirmed Israeli action in the past week, but Netanyahu has signaled readiness for escalation if attacks persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volumen
$682,680Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces in Yemen launched a ballistic missile toward central Israel on December 27, intercepted by IDF defenses, marking the latest in a series of attacks tied to solidarity with Gaza amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. Israel previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi-controlled ports and power stations in Sanaa on November 12, retaliating for a missile aimed at Ben Gurion Airport. With Houthis vowing continued operations despite U.S. and allied strikes on their Red Sea capabilities, trader sentiment hinges on Israel's response threshold to further direct threats, potential Iranian backing, and diplomatic de-escalation efforts. No confirmed Israeli action in the past week, but Netanyahu has signaled readiness for escalation if attacks persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$682,680Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Houthi forces in Yemen launched a ballistic missile toward central Israel on December 27, intercepted by IDF defenses, marking the latest in a series of attacks tied to solidarity with Gaza amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. Israel previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi-controlled ports and power stations in Sanaa on November 12, retaliating for a missile aimed at Ben Gurion Airport. With Houthis vowing continued operations despite U.S. and allied strikes on their Red Sea capabilities, trader sentiment hinges on Israel's response threshold to further direct threats, potential Iranian backing, and diplomatic de-escalation efforts. No confirmed Israeli action in the past week, but Netanyahu has signaled readiness for escalation if attacks persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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