Market icon
Elecciones·Senado

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Market icon
Elecciones·Senado

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 28%

John Thune 21%

Brian Schatz 12%

Lindsey Graham 5.6%

Polymarket

$33,247 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 28%

John Thune 21%

Brian Schatz 12%

Lindsey Graham 5.6%

Polymarket

$33,247 Vol.

Market icon

Chuck Schumer

$3,383 Vol.

28%

Market icon

John Thune

$475 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Brian Schatz

$861 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Lindsey Graham

$8,314 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$527 Vol.

6%

Market icon

John Barrasso

$355 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Steve Daines

$18,011 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$629 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Tom Cotton

$192 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Patty Murray

$87 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Amy Klobuchar

$412 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors Chuck Schumer at 28.5% implied probability to become next Senate Majority Leader, reflecting recent polls showing Democrats edging Republicans in four critical battleground races like North Carolina and Maine amid midterm headwinds for President Trump's party. Republicans hold a slim 53-47 majority under current Majority Leader John Thune (18%), but ongoing DHS funding disputes risking government shutdowns and controversy over Iran strikes have tightened the race for 2026 midterms, where Democrats need a net four-seat gain despite defending more seats. Brian Schatz trails as Democratic whip with generational appeal if Schumer steps aside; GOP challengers like Lindsey Graham benefit from Trump alignment, while Steve Daines leverages NRSC chair influence. Consolidation hinges on polling trends, economic pressures, and caucus endorsements post-November 3 elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$33,247
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors Chuck Schumer at 28.5% implied probability to become next Senate Majority Leader, reflecting recent polls showing Democrats edging Republicans in four critical battleground races like North Carolina and Maine amid midterm headwinds for President Trump's party. Republicans hold a slim 53-47 majority under current Majority Leader John Thune (18%), but ongoing DHS funding disputes risking government shutdowns and controversy over Iran strikes have tightened the race for 2026 midterms, where Democrats need a net four-seat gain despite defending more seats. Brian Schatz trails as Democratic whip with generational appeal if Schumer steps aside; GOP challengers like Lindsey Graham benefit from Trump alignment, while Steve Daines leverages NRSC chair influence. Consolidation hinges on polling trends, economic pressures, and caucus endorsements post-November 3 elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$33,247
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chuck Schumer" con 28%, seguido de "John Thune" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ha generado $33.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Senate Majority Leader?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Senate Majority Leader?" es "Chuck Schumer" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Thune" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Senate Majority Leader?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.