Trump's trader consensus at 94.5% "No" on exiting the presidency by June 30 stems from his robust exercise of executive authority, including the April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi—replaced by acting AG Todd Blanche—and recent policy actions like tariffs on pharmaceuticals and a national address on Iran operations. No active impeachment proceedings have advanced in the House despite prior resolutions, and Senate conviction remains improbable amid Republican majorities. Calls for 25th Amendment invocation by critics lack Cabinet support, while Trump's public appearances, such as attending Supreme Court arguments, signal stable health. Absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or resignation signals, traders price low risk of removal via impeachment, incapacity, or voluntary departure before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes del 30 de junio?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,975,766 Vol.
$1,975,766 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,975,766 Vol.
$1,975,766 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's trader consensus at 94.5% "No" on exiting the presidency by June 30 stems from his robust exercise of executive authority, including the April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi—replaced by acting AG Todd Blanche—and recent policy actions like tariffs on pharmaceuticals and a national address on Iran operations. No active impeachment proceedings have advanced in the House despite prior resolutions, and Senate conviction remains improbable amid Republican majorities. Calls for 25th Amendment invocation by critics lack Cabinet support, while Trump's public appearances, such as attending Supreme Court arguments, signal stable health. Absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or resignation signals, traders price low risk of removal via impeachment, incapacity, or voluntary departure before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volumen
$1,975,766Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's trader consensus at 94.5% "No" on exiting the presidency by June 30 stems from his robust exercise of executive authority, including the April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi—replaced by acting AG Todd Blanche—and recent policy actions like tariffs on pharmaceuticals and a national address on Iran operations. No active impeachment proceedings have advanced in the House despite prior resolutions, and Senate conviction remains improbable amid Republican majorities. Calls for 25th Amendment invocation by critics lack Cabinet support, while Trump's public appearances, such as attending Supreme Court arguments, signal stable health. Absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or resignation signals, traders price low risk of removal via impeachment, incapacity, or voluntary departure before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,975,766Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's trader consensus at 94.5% "No" on exiting the presidency by June 30 stems from his robust exercise of executive authority, including the April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi—replaced by acting AG Todd Blanche—and recent policy actions like tariffs on pharmaceuticals and a national address on Iran operations. No active impeachment proceedings have advanced in the House despite prior resolutions, and Senate conviction remains improbable amid Republican majorities. Calls for 25th Amendment invocation by critics lack Cabinet support, while Trump's public appearances, such as attending Supreme Court arguments, signal stable health. Absent late-breaking scandals, health events, or resignation signals, traders price low risk of removal via impeachment, incapacity, or voluntary departure before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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