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Elecciones·Groenlandia

¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?

Market icon
Elecciones·Groenlandia

¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?

Mette Frederiksen 92%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 4.9%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.6%

Alex Vanopslagh 1.0%

Polymarket

$5,231,278 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 92%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 4.9%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.6%

Alex Vanopslagh 1.0%

Polymarket

$5,231,278 Vol.

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Mette Frederiksen

$1,032,916 Vol.

92%

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Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$1,884,967 Vol.

5%

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Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,091,431 Vol.

3%

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Alex Vanopslagh

$625,889 Vol.

1%

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Mona Juul

$90,743 Vol.

<1%

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Lars Boje Mathiesen

$83,890 Vol.

<1%

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Inger Støjberg

$39,960 Vol.

<1%

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Martin Lidegaard

$36,698 Vol.

<1%

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Pia Olsen Dyhr

$120,807 Vol.

<1%

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Morten Messerschmidt

$175,281 Vol.

<1%

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Pelle Dragsted

$48,696 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats retained the most seats in the Folketing at 38 despite their weakest showing since 1903, prompting her caretaker government resignation and tasking by King Frederik X to lead coalition negotiations. Initial cross-bloc talks began March 27 with kingmaker Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen and others, focusing on tax policy, agriculture, and welfare amid proportional representation dynamics requiring 90 seats for a majority. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects her historical dealmaking success, like 2022, and early endorsements from left allies. Realistic challenges include negotiation breakdowns over green policies or immigration, potentially shifting the exploratory mandate to Rasmussen for a center-right coalition.

Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats retained the most seats in the Folketing at 38 despite their weakest showing since 1903, prompting her caretaker government resignation and tasking by King Frederik X to lead coalition negotiations. Initial cross-bloc talks began March 27 with kingmaker Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen and others, focusing on tax policy, agriculture, and welfare amid proportional representation dynamics requiring 90 seats for a majority. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects her historical dealmaking success, like 2022, and early endorsements from left allies. Realistic challenges include negotiation breakdowns over green policies or immigration, potentially shifting the exploratory mandate to Rasmussen for a center-right coalition.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats retained the most seats in the Folketing at 38 despite their weakest showing since 1903, prompting her caretaker government resignation and tasking by King Frederik X to lead coalition negotiations. Initial cross-bloc talks began March 27 with kingmaker Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen and others, focusing on tax policy, agriculture, and welfare amid proportional representation dynamics requiring 90 seats for a majority. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects her historical dealmaking success, like 2022, and early endorsements from left allies. Realistic challenges include negotiation breakdowns over green policies or immigration, potentially shifting the exploratory mandate to Rasmussen for a center-right coalition.

Following Denmark's snap general election on March 24, Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats retained the most seats in the Folketing at 38 despite their weakest showing since 1903, prompting her caretaker government resignation and tasking by King Frederik X to lead coalition negotiations. Initial cross-bloc talks began March 27 with kingmaker Moderates under Lars Løkke Rasmussen and others, focusing on tax policy, agriculture, and welfare amid proportional representation dynamics requiring 90 seats for a majority. Trader consensus at 90.5% reflects her historical dealmaking success, like 2022, and early endorsements from left allies. Realistic challenges include negotiation breakdowns over green policies or immigration, potentially shifting the exploratory mandate to Rasmussen for a center-right coalition.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mette Frederiksen" con 92%, seguido de "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" ha generado $5.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" es "Mette Frederiksen" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.