With the first-round vote count from Peru's April 12-13 general election still ongoing amid logistical delays, ballot shortages, and irregularities prompting investigations into ONPE leadership, trader consensus heavily favors "Other" at 82% as no clear top-two pairing has emerged. Keiko Fujimori leads with around 17% of tabulated votes, but a tight contest for second—between Roberto Sánchez (12%), Rafael López Aliaga (11%), and Jorge Nieto—fragments probabilities across unlisted combinations. Pre-election polls had positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as frontrunners, sustaining their 16.5% pairing odds, though Sánchez's surge and potential nullity challenges heighten uncertainty ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?
¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?
Otro 81.9%
López Aliaga y Fujimori 16%
Fujimori y Nieto <1%
López Aliaga y López Chau <1%
$1,075,821 Vol.
$1,075,821 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Otro
82%
López Aliaga y Fujimori
16%
Fujimori y Nieto
<1%
López Aliaga y López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Fujimori
<1%
López Chau y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Grozo
<1%
Otro 81.9%
López Aliaga y Fujimori 16%
Fujimori y Nieto <1%
López Aliaga y López Chau <1%
$1,075,821 Vol.
$1,075,821 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Otro
$285,199 Vol.
82%
López Aliaga y Fujimori
$359,547 Vol.
16%
Fujimori y Nieto
$200,511 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y López Chau
$28,017 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y Nieto
$36,798 Vol.
<1%
López Chau y Fujimori
$69,374 Vol.
<1%
López Chau y Nieto
$18,487 Vol.
<1%
López Chau y Sánchez Palomino
$26,264 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino
$39,670 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y Grozo
$11,953 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With the first-round vote count from Peru's April 12-13 general election still ongoing amid logistical delays, ballot shortages, and irregularities prompting investigations into ONPE leadership, trader consensus heavily favors "Other" at 82% as no clear top-two pairing has emerged. Keiko Fujimori leads with around 17% of tabulated votes, but a tight contest for second—between Roberto Sánchez (12%), Rafael López Aliaga (11%), and Jorge Nieto—fragments probabilities across unlisted combinations. Pre-election polls had positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as frontrunners, sustaining their 16.5% pairing odds, though Sánchez's surge and potential nullity challenges heighten uncertainty ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,075,821Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With the first-round vote count from Peru's April 12-13 general election still ongoing amid logistical delays, ballot shortages, and irregularities prompting investigations into ONPE leadership, trader consensus heavily favors "Other" at 82% as no clear top-two pairing has emerged. Keiko Fujimori leads with around 17% of tabulated votes, but a tight contest for second—between Roberto Sánchez (12%), Rafael López Aliaga (11%), and Jorge Nieto—fragments probabilities across unlisted combinations. Pre-election polls had positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as frontrunners, sustaining their 16.5% pairing odds, though Sánchez's surge and potential nullity challenges heighten uncertainty ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volumen
$1,075,821Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the first-round vote count from Peru's April 12-13 general election still ongoing amid logistical delays, ballot shortages, and irregularities prompting investigations into ONPE leadership, trader consensus heavily favors "Other" at 82% as no clear top-two pairing has emerged. Keiko Fujimori leads with around 17% of tabulated votes, but a tight contest for second—between Roberto Sánchez (12%), Rafael López Aliaga (11%), and Jorge Nieto—fragments probabilities across unlisted combinations. Pre-election polls had positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as frontrunners, sustaining their 16.5% pairing odds, though Sánchez's surge and potential nullity challenges heighten uncertainty ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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