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Política·Uk

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney

Market icon
Política·Uk

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney

Zoë Garbett 50%

Caroline Woodley 41%

Tareke Gregg 9.8%

Vahid Almasi 7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Zoë Garbett 50%

Caroline Woodley 41%

Tareke Gregg 9.8%

Vahid Almasi 7%

Polymarket
NUEVO
¿Ganará Zoë Garbett las elecciones a la alcaldía del distrito londinense de Hackney en 2026? icon

Zoë Garbett

$20 Vol.

50%

¿Ganarà Caroline Woodley la elección a la alcaldía del municipio de Hackney en Londres en 2026? icon

Caroline Woodley

$14 Vol.

41%

¿Ganará Tareke Gregg las elecciones a la alcaldía del distrito de Hackney en Londres en 2026? icon

Tareke Gregg

$39 Vol.

10%

¿Ganará Vahid Almasi la elección para alcalde del distrito londinense de Hackney en 2026? icon

Vahid Almasi

$14 Vol.

7%

¿Ganará Eva Steinhardt la elección para la alcaldía del distrito de Hackney en Londres en 2026? icon

Eva Steinhardt

$62 Vol.

6%

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Recent JL Partners MRP polling from April 15 shows the Green Party leading Labour 40%-33% in Hackney local election vote intentions, driving trader consensus toward Green candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability over Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley at 41%, with Reform UK's Vahid Almasi at 10% and others trailing. This tight mayoral contest on May 7 under first-past-the-post reflects Labour's historical dominance challenged by a Green surge in the progressive borough, amplified by council projections awarding Greens the most seats (25 of 57) amid no overall control. Dynamics hinge on left-leaning voter turnout (historically ~34%), campaign momentum on local issues like housing, and potential vote splits; late endorsements or scandals could tip the balance before polls close.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volumen
$147
Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Recent JL Partners MRP polling from April 15 shows the Green Party leading Labour 40%-33% in Hackney local election vote intentions, driving trader consensus toward Green candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability over Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley at 41%, with Reform UK's Vahid Almasi at 10% and others trailing. This tight mayoral contest on May 7 under first-past-the-post reflects Labour's historical dominance challenged by a Green surge in the progressive borough, amplified by council projections awarding Greens the most seats (25 of 57) amid no overall control. Dynamics hinge on left-leaning voter turnout (historically ~34%), campaign momentum on local issues like housing, and potential vote splits; late endorsements or scandals could tip the balance before polls close.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volumen
$147
Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Zoë Garbett" con 50%, seguido de "Caroline Woodley" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney" es "Zoë Garbett" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Caroline Woodley" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.