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Política·Bolivia

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)

Market icon
Política·Bolivia

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)

Juan Pablo Velasco 41.9%

Otto Ritter 36.9%

Luis Fernando Camacho <1%

Julio César Tórrez <1%

Polymarket

$684,614 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco 41.9%

Otto Ritter 36.9%

Luis Fernando Camacho <1%

Julio César Tórrez <1%

Polymarket

$684,614 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco

$283,120 Vol.

42%

Otto Ritter

$75,122 Vol.

37%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$121,188 Vol.

<1%

Julio César Tórrez

$25,047 Vol.

<1%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$24,793 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$20,734 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$25,110 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$49,811 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$22,130 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$37,559 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial election set for March 16, 2025, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Creemos candidate Juan Pablo Velasco a narrow edge at 41.9% implied probability over MAS contender Otto Ritter at 36.9%, reflecting Santa Cruz's entrenched opposition to the national MAS government amid regional demands for autonomy and agribusiness interests. Recent polls from late October, including those by Ciesmori, show Velasco maintaining a slim lead due to his ties to imprisoned former governor Luis Fernando Camacho, whose low 0.3% odds stem from ongoing terrorism charges barring his candidacy. The race remains tight with a potential runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%, hinging on turnout in battleground municipalities and any late campaign endorsements or scandals; a Velasco surge could follow strong rural mobilization, while Ritter gains from MAS organizational strength.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volumen
$684,614
Fecha de finalización
Apr 19, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial election set for March 16, 2025, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Creemos candidate Juan Pablo Velasco a narrow edge at 41.9% implied probability over MAS contender Otto Ritter at 36.9%, reflecting Santa Cruz's entrenched opposition to the national MAS government amid regional demands for autonomy and agribusiness interests. Recent polls from late October, including those by Ciesmori, show Velasco maintaining a slim lead due to his ties to imprisoned former governor Luis Fernando Camacho, whose low 0.3% odds stem from ongoing terrorism charges barring his candidacy. The race remains tight with a potential runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%, hinging on turnout in battleground municipalities and any late campaign endorsements or scandals; a Velasco surge could follow strong rural mobilization, while Ritter gains from MAS organizational strength.

In Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial election set for March 16, 2025, trader consensus on Polymarket gives Creemos candidate Juan Pablo Velasco a narrow edge at 41.9% implied probability over MAS contender Otto Ritter at 36.9%, reflecting Santa Cruz's entrenched opposition to the national MAS government amid regional demands for autonomy and agribusiness interests. Recent polls from late October, including those by Ciesmori, show Velasco maintaining a slim lead due to his ties to imprisoned former governor Luis Fernando Camacho, whose low 0.3% odds stem from ongoing terrorism charges barring his candidacy. The race remains tight with a potential runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%, hinging on turnout in battleground municipalities and any late campaign endorsements or scandals; a Velasco surge could follow strong rural mobilization, while Ritter gains from MAS organizational strength.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Juan Pablo Velasco" con 42%, seguido de "Otto Ritter" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" ha generado $684.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" es "Juan Pablo Velasco" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Otto Ritter" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.