Incumbent Rep. André Carson's commanding lead in the May 5 Democratic primary for Indiana's 7th Congressional District has driven trader consensus to 99.7% for his renomination, reflecting early returns showing him easily fending off challengers George Hornedo, Denise Paul Hatch, and Destiny Scott Wells. The longtime representative, holding the safely Democratic D+21 seat covering most of Indianapolis since 2008, leveraged incumbency advantages and superior resources in what media called his toughest primary yet, despite some anti-incumbent voter turnout splitting opposition votes. Official certification remains pending, but the sizable margin—well above past blowouts—poses significant barriers to reversal barring rare irregularities, recounts, or legal challenges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAndré Carson 100.0%
George Hornedo <1%
Denise Paul Hatch <1%
Destiny Scott Wells <1%
$25,119 Vol.
$25,119 Vol.
André Carson
Yes
George Hornedo
No
Denise Paul Hatch
No
Destiny Scott Wells
No
André Carson 100.0%
George Hornedo <1%
Denise Paul Hatch <1%
Destiny Scott Wells <1%
$25,119 Vol.
$25,119 Vol.
André Carson
Yes
George Hornedo
No
Denise Paul Hatch
No
Destiny Scott Wells
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Incumbent Rep. André Carson's commanding lead in the May 5 Democratic primary for Indiana's 7th Congressional District has driven trader consensus to 99.7% for his renomination, reflecting early returns showing him easily fending off challengers George Hornedo, Denise Paul Hatch, and Destiny Scott Wells. The longtime representative, holding the safely Democratic D+21 seat covering most of Indianapolis since 2008, leveraged incumbency advantages and superior resources in what media called his toughest primary yet, despite some anti-incumbent voter turnout splitting opposition votes. Official certification remains pending, but the sizable margin—well above past blowouts—poses significant barriers to reversal barring rare irregularities, recounts, or legal challenges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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