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Política·Parciales

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Política·Parciales

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 96%

Destiny Scott Wells 2.1%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$10,048 Vol.

André Carson 96%

Destiny Scott Wells 2.1%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$10,048 Vol.

André Carson

$3,104 Vol.

96%

Destiny Scott Wells

$401 Vol.

2%

Denise Paul Hatch

$5,841 Vol.

1%

George Hornedo

$702 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 95.5% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary market, reflecting his two-decade tenure in the safely Democratic Indianapolis-based district (D+21 Cook PVI) and lopsided 85-point primary victory in 2024. Recent voter guides ahead of the May 5, 2026, primary highlight three challengers—Destiny Scott Wells (former AG nominee and Army Reserve officer), Denise Paul Hatch (ex-constable with prior legal issues), and George Hornedo—but none have gained polling traction or closed Carson's presumed fundraising gap, per early April coverage framing this as his toughest contest yet. Trader consensus anticipates incumbency advantages like name recognition and party loyalty prevailing, though a Wells surge via endorsements, scandal hitting Carson, or unusual turnout could shift odds before early voting begins.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,048
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 95.5% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary market, reflecting his two-decade tenure in the safely Democratic Indianapolis-based district (D+21 Cook PVI) and lopsided 85-point primary victory in 2024. Recent voter guides ahead of the May 5, 2026, primary highlight three challengers—Destiny Scott Wells (former AG nominee and Army Reserve officer), Denise Paul Hatch (ex-constable with prior legal issues), and George Hornedo—but none have gained polling traction or closed Carson's presumed fundraising gap, per early April coverage framing this as his toughest contest yet. Trader consensus anticipates incumbency advantages like name recognition and party loyalty prevailing, though a Wells surge via endorsements, scandal hitting Carson, or unusual turnout could shift odds before early voting begins.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,048
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "André Carson" con 96%, seguido de "Destiny Scott Wells" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generado $10K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es "André Carson" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Destiny Scott Wells" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.