Strong polling leads have solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for passage of Nevada's constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to viability on November 5. Recent surveys, including a late October University of Nevada poll showing 68% support and an RMG Research poll at 64% yes versus 28% no, confirm consistent double-digit margins since post-Dobbs voter shifts. Pro-amendment groups like Planned Parenthood have dominated ad spending and secured bipartisan endorsements, while opposition struggles amid high early voting turnout in this battleground state. Though ratification requires a second majority in 2026, traders see low risk of first-round failure based on these trends and historical ballot measure dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Strong polling leads have solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for passage of Nevada's constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to viability on November 5. Recent surveys, including a late October University of Nevada poll showing 68% support and an RMG Research poll at 64% yes versus 28% no, confirm consistent double-digit margins since post-Dobbs voter shifts. Pro-amendment groups like Planned Parenthood have dominated ad spending and secured bipartisan endorsements, while opposition struggles amid high early voting turnout in this battleground state. Though ratification requires a second majority in 2026, traders see low risk of first-round failure based on these trends and historical ballot measure dynamics.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Strong polling leads have solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for passage of Nevada's constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to viability on November 5. Recent surveys, including a late October University of Nevada poll showing 68% support and an RMG Research poll at 64% yes versus 28% no, confirm consistent double-digit margins since post-Dobbs voter shifts. Pro-amendment groups like Planned Parenthood have dominated ad spending and secured bipartisan endorsements, while opposition struggles amid high early voting turnout in this battleground state. Though ratification requires a second majority in 2026, traders see low risk of first-round failure based on these trends and historical ballot measure dynamics.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong polling leads have solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for passage of Nevada's constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to viability on November 5. Recent surveys, including a late October University of Nevada poll showing 68% support and an RMG Research poll at 64% yes versus 28% no, confirm consistent double-digit margins since post-Dobbs voter shifts. Pro-amendment groups like Planned Parenthood have dominated ad spending and secured bipartisan endorsements, while opposition struggles amid high early voting turnout in this battleground state. Though ratification requires a second majority in 2026, traders see low risk of first-round failure based on these trends and historical ballot measure dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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