Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones dominate trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, driven by their commanding fundraising leads—$1.9 million and $1.7 million cash on hand, respectively, as of late 2025—and Democratic Party endorsements amid a fragmented Republican field with minimal resources. The district's recent redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, shifted boundaries to narrow its D+8 partisan lean slightly but retains Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Candidate filings closed March 6 with certifications finalized March 26, including withdrawals by Trevor Merrell and others, leaving no major shifts in the past 30 days. Early voting begins May 4, potentially amplifying turnout in this safe Democratic seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$20,100 Vol.
Eric Jones
96%
Mike Thompson
96%
Trevor Merrell
16%
John Wesley Tyler
24%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Laurie MacKenzie
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
$20,100 Vol.
Eric Jones
96%
Mike Thompson
96%
Trevor Merrell
16%
John Wesley Tyler
24%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Laurie MacKenzie
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones dominate trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, driven by their commanding fundraising leads—$1.9 million and $1.7 million cash on hand, respectively, as of late 2025—and Democratic Party endorsements amid a fragmented Republican field with minimal resources. The district's recent redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, shifted boundaries to narrow its D+8 partisan lean slightly but retains Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Candidate filings closed March 6 with certifications finalized March 26, including withdrawals by Trevor Merrell and others, leaving no major shifts in the past 30 days. Early voting begins May 4, potentially amplifying turnout in this safe Democratic seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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