Incumbent Mike Thompson faces a notable Democratic primary challenge from Eric Jones in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Redistricting under Proposition 50 incorporated additional rural and historically conservative counties, though the seat remains solidly Democratic. Both Thompson and Jones have raised and spent millions, with Jones deploying substantial personal funds, while Republican candidates including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar fragment opposition support. Bernie Sanders endorsed Jones. Under the jungle primary rules, the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party, positioning the leading Democrats as the strong consensus advancers with the contest occurring in two days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$35,433 Vol.
Mike Thompson
92%
Eric Jones
92%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$35,433 Vol.
Mike Thompson
92%
Eric Jones
92%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson faces a notable Democratic primary challenge from Eric Jones in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Redistricting under Proposition 50 incorporated additional rural and historically conservative counties, though the seat remains solidly Democratic. Both Thompson and Jones have raised and spent millions, with Jones deploying substantial personal funds, while Republican candidates including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar fragment opposition support. Bernie Sanders endorsed Jones. Under the jungle primary rules, the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party, positioning the leading Democrats as the strong consensus advancers with the contest occurring in two days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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