Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, with a fragmented Republican field of six candidates likely splitting votes and enabling both Democrats to advance to November's general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, redrew boundaries to include conservative Yuba-Sutter counties alongside liberal wine country, narrowing the district's D+17 Cook PVI lean but keeping it rated Solid Democratic. Recent fundraising through March showed Jones edging Thompson in receipts at $3.2 million versus $3 million, fueled by self-funding and progressive donors, while Thompson holds more cash on hand and broad endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom and congressional Democrats; a Sacramento Bee voter guide last week highlighted their generational contrast amid absent polls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$23,059 Vol.
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
92%
Heath Fulkerson
12%
Trevor Merrell
12%
Sharon Brown
8%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
$23,059 Vol.
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
92%
Heath Fulkerson
12%
Trevor Merrell
12%
Sharon Brown
8%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, with a fragmented Republican field of six candidates likely splitting votes and enabling both Democrats to advance to November's general election. Redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, redrew boundaries to include conservative Yuba-Sutter counties alongside liberal wine country, narrowing the district's D+17 Cook PVI lean but keeping it rated Solid Democratic. Recent fundraising through March showed Jones edging Thompson in receipts at $3.2 million versus $3 million, fueled by self-funding and progressive donors, while Thompson holds more cash on hand and broad endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom and congressional Democrats; a Sacramento Bee voter guide last week highlighted their generational contrast amid absent polls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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